Hondas EV-Rückzug ist ein weiterer Freihandels-Realitätscheck für Kanada

The article sort of skirts this, but the problem is that the Canadian auto sector relies on integrated trade of intermediate goods, with free flow back and forth of parts in various stages of completion, including parts from overseas.

The tariffs interrupt that free flow.

That level of integration is simply not possible with other markets, as we rely on the short distance, tight infastructure connection to Michigan.

Ontario broadly is also a much worse place to do business than it used to be.

The point of the old factory towns is that the big factories would be supported by a local population with access to cheap housing and clear highways. As sprawl has expanded commuter communities to these towns and politically mandated scarcity has driven up prices, Ontario is no longer as cost competitive as it used to be.

We are also suffering from the E vehicle bust in NA, and the general retreat of American manifacturers from the north, and their weakness in a lot of markets generally.

As of now, Canada has 3 possible futures when it comes to autos:

1) By some miracle, get a deal with America the admin has vowed not to give, and have the chance to improve productivity, or return to the comfortable slow decline we had before.

2) Use tariffs to protect the Canadian sector, which will produce less variety at a higher price than we had with the NA system. Economic productivity takes a hit from a more expensive transportation fleet.

3) Mostly give up on auto manifacturing and throw open the doors to foreign imports to allow cheap, subsidised imports to drive down the cost of cars, especially EVs, nationally. Hope something else takes its place.

But none of these will have much chance of working if we don’t address our major weak spots as a manufacturer.