Donald Trump gewann 2024 Stimmen in Gebieten, in denen die Inflation am schlimmsten war. Untersuchungen deuten darauf hin, dass der republikanische Kandidat in Landkreisen mit höheren Inflationsraten, insbesondere in Gebieten mit niedrigerem Einkommen, leichte Wahlgewinne verzeichnete.
Donald Trump gained 2024 votes in areas where inflation was worse, study finds
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>A recent analysis explores the relationship between objective, local price increases and shifting voter choices during the 2024 United States presidential election. The research indicates that the Republican candidate experienced slight electoral gains in counties with higher rates of inflation, particularly in lower-income areas. These [findings](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0261379425001453?via%3Dihub) were published in the journal Electoral Studies.
>Political scientists often study a concept called economic voting. This is the idea that voters reward or punish politicians based on the financial health of the country. When the economy struggles, voters tend to cast their ballots against the political party currently in power.
>Following the 2024 election, many journalists pointed to rising consumer prices as a primary reason for the outcome. Prior to this new analysis, researchers had only looked at survey data to explore this connection. Surveys ask individuals how they feel about the economy and who they plan to vote for.
>Relying entirely on surveys presents a methodological challenge for researchers. A person’s political preference can influence their perception of the economy. For instance, someone planning to vote against the incumbent party might report feeling worse about the economy than someone supporting the incumbent.
I still don’t understand why in the US you can’t just count the votes for each party
Not terribly surprising. A large amount of voters simply see problems and assume that if it’s a problem under the current party, then the other party needs to be pulled in.
Moral of the story: Make short-sighted economic decisions, leading to increased inflation, making life harder for citizens, then they’ll vote for you!
Yes, because the republican base is made up entirely of low income, noncollege educated whites. This makes the most sense. People in these areas typically have low paying jobs or are on government programs meaning they also probably struggle with critical analysis and parsing through the propaganda. They likely don’t understand most of what’s happening in the US and will be shocked when they can’t afford to live in the next 6-8 months.
How’d that work out for you guys?
„Some gasoline oughta put out this fire.“
I guess they just really wanted more inflation.
He does love the uneducated
Less wealthy Republican voters are just a bunch of masochists. They love it.
If you explain where inflation comes from, how its negative results can be mitigated, and that it might mean some short adjustment period that will hurt your wallet – it’s hard to follow and sounds like an excuse.
If you just blame the other side for inflation and keep beating that drum over and over – it’s easy to understand, so it must be true.
He sells a nice fantasy and delivers a hellhole.
And now they think the problem is solved.
This reinforces what other post election autopsies have also said. Which is that the message that Trump won strongest with was not the culture wars stuff, it was the economic messages and promising to fix the system.
And that Harris was seen as a continuation of Biden and by extension carried the baggage of people’s frustrations with the economy.
Which also reinforces that the Democrats need to stop thinking they can vibe their way out of elections and start offering strong, contrasting economically populist messages that address people’s material conditions in a way that brings out new voters.
Using fraudulent voting data. Yeah I wouldn’t read too much into an analysis like this.
If anything, use it to point out where votes were stolen, not ask second level questions that are irrelevant.
I know it’s been said already, but it’s important for us to remember that inflation was a calculated choice made intentionally to avoid worse economic outcomes, like recession.
It’s important to remember that because the lesson politicians take away from this is going to be „Do not EVER inflate or you’ll get destroyed at the polls“ and that is potentially really dangerous.
Poor and misinformed people continue to vote against their own interests. Quelle suprise.
1992 called. They want their political advisors back.
[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_the_economy,_stupid](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It%27s_the_economy,_stupid)
„Morons more likely to vote for pedophile rapist felon“
Any speculation about the 2024 election is useless without accounting for the fact that they stole it
A large portion of this is likely based on the messaging from both parties during the election. Donald Trump and his team were going around talking about how our of control inflation was under the Biden administration and promising to fix it, and Biden and Harris‘ teams were talking about the latest inflation reports and how inflation was no longer a problem.
It isn’t hard to understand why the people who were hardest hit by COVID era inflation were the least receptive to the Democrats‘ messaging.
The price of eggs that never got resolved.
The most clueless voters make the most clueless decisions. So sad that theae people literally chose to hurt my kid’s future.
I understand the importance of everyone deserving a vote.
But damn, is it frustrating that the „uneducated“ populace played an important role of where we are.
This extends worldwide in post Covid elections. Bad time to be an incumbent
„It’s the economy, stupid“
Lower income usually means the people don’t have access to better education. That has a lot to do with it, I’d bet.
Well makes sense. People that are experiencing the worst of the affordability crisis are gonna be the most likely to fall for his act purely out of desperation. Unfortunately the overblown reaction they had turned into a self fulfilling prophecy, se la vie.
Monopolies know this which is why they raise the price of goods when they don’t like the president. Lots of studies showed that prices were raised more than they needed to be, greedflation.
Yeah because Trump has the solutions, like literally making it worse with dumb policies.
Great going, Trump.
Why not measure something useful like literacy?
People in my area voted for Rump, and when asked why, they said just look at our roads…like the federal government paves or doesn’t pave all roads in a state
Aka republicans cheater more in some places
Why do you think republicans are always trying to dismantle the education system? Educated voters don’t vote against their own self interests, that’s what Republicans do
„The forest was shrinking but the trees kept voting for the axe, for the axe was clever and convinced the trees that because his handle was made of wood he was one of them.“