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    Der „Breaking Bad“-Effekt ist real: Daten zeigen, dass Krebsdiagnosen zu einem Anstieg des kriminellen Verhaltens um 14 % führen


    Der „Breaking Bad“-Effekt ist real: Daten zeigen, dass Krebsdiagnosen zu einem Anstieg des kriminellen Verhaltens um 14 % führen

    https://www.zmescience.com/science/news-science/the-breaking-bad-effect-is-real-data-shows-cancer-diagnoses-drive-a-14-spike-in-criminal-hehavior/

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    5 Kommentare

    2. Potential_Being_7226 on

      Citation:

      Andersen, Steffen, Elin Colmsjö, Gianpaolo Parise, and Kim Peijnenburg. 2026. „Breaking Bad: How Health Shocks Prompt Crime.“American Economic Journal: Applied Economics 18 (1): 88–119.

      DOI: 10.1257/app.20220769

      https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.20220769

      Abstract:

      Exploiting plausibly exogenous variations in the timing of cancer diagnoses, we establish that health shocks elicit a large and persistent increase in the probability of committing a crime. This effect materializes in a substantial rise in both first crimes and re-offenses. We uncover evidence for two mechanisms. First, an economic motive leads individuals to compensate the loss of legal revenues with illegal earnings. Second, cancer patients face lower expected cost of punishment through a lower survival probability. Welfare programs that alleviate the economic repercussions of health shocks are effective at mitigating the ensuing negative externality on society.

    3. PainfulRaindance on

      It’s not ‘cancer’. It’s a human in a desperate situation that can cause someone to break the law to mitigate their desperation. I hate when ‘science’ articles do this. Trying to act like it’s a discovery or insightful to state the broadly obvious in a narrow context.

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