The data source is: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects: The 2024 Revision. (Medium variant)
If I am reading this correctly then Italy, Spain and Poland are fucked.
Ember_Roots on
It would be great if world population got back to 1-2 billion like it has been for most of history.
OrtganizeAttention on
Yesterday in Spain, temperature records were broken by 2 degrees, when the climate targets were 1.5 degrees within 25 years. This is devastating tourism, which will move further north. Furthermore, the average salary is currently equal to the rent, making it impossible for young people to have children. Climate change and living conditions are going to devastate southern Europe.
Available-Reading-87 on
Up to this point, UN projections (about fertility) have always been too optimistic. It may be even worse than this.
kisof22 on
Can someone explain what happens in ukraine before 2022 ?
Frugal-Bastard on
How is France so stable? Because of african immigration?
Several-Support2201 on
Why are France and the UK projected to rise?
Faktencheck-real on
Ukraine is completely f’ed in the a.
madewulf on
Notice that for readability, this only includes the 10 largest countries of Europe (in 2024)
Iconx01 on
Concerning.
ExpertPath on
It was exactly graphs like these that caused the current housing crisis in Germany. 20 years ago they estimated a shrinking population, so they decreased the number of new housing projects. Guess what, Germany grew by 4 million people, and now housing is unaffordable and hard to find.
bosch1817 on
It’s ok, maybe all the immigrants will only convert us to space Islam like in Dune.
TheJiral on
50 year long population predictions are pretty worthless. Population growth is exponential and the certainty of growth rate prediction is strongly decreasing with every decade of projection length. There can be massive and sudden changes in the growth rate due to currently completely unforeseeable events.
It is really like looking at the bottom of your tea cup. Doesn’t matter if the UN is doing it or anyone else. Would you give the weather prediction for the 1.10.2100 and the precipitation amount on that day much consideration?
berejser on
So basically, with the possible exception of Ukraine, any drop in population over the rest of the century won’t even offset the growth over the last century. People make such a fuss over nothing.
Jindujun on
I dont buy the projections for one second. With the falling birthrates we should probably be dropping more than that but we shouldn’t see THIS many flat lines at the end.
Turbulent_Worth_2509 on
The UK population is not going to dip … Far, far from that.
Telpecarne on
United Nations hobby is to extrapolate.
Feisty-Witness-3972 on
Long-term economic projections have the only value of making astrology seem trustworthy
Hanayama10 on
Italy having had briefly more people than France and the UK surprises me
ElleAsly on
LETS GO ITALY LETS MAKE IT CRASH FASTER 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
Historical_Jelly_536 on
With Russian catastrofic defeat Europe will get its new wave. Cheap resources, large undevelopped market. Europe should follow real-politic trends, so loved by Putin amd Trump. End of Russian – will mean prosperity for Europe.
HardwiredUpYourAss on
My concern is that Europe will be flooded with Indians everywhere since they are the only ones growing massively.
TheBlindMonkk on
Unless the German economy collapses, the population will continue to grow. The last government already announced its intention to increase it to at least 90 million, and there is no reason to believe that the current government will deviate from this course.
PanickyFool on
If you want a welfare state, have sex and make babies.
2137knight on
Poland Strong!
Rodion_from_Earth on
I guess in 2100 there won’t be any real europeans in Europe
Een_man_met_voornaam on
This graph says we are never going to hit 20 million wich as this point is bullshit
Difficult_Pop8262 on
Rich countries plateau. PIGS die.
MikelDB on
This can’t be updated, Spain is already on 49,1 so almost 1,3 million over that value.
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The data source is: United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division. World Population Prospects: The 2024 Revision. (Medium variant)
You can find a live version here: [https://www.populationpyramid.net/population-projections/belgium+france+germany+italy+netherlands+poland+romania+spain+ukraine+united-kingdom/](https://www.populationpyramid.net/population-projections/belgium+france+germany+italy+netherlands+poland+romania+spain+ukraine+united-kingdom/)
If I am reading this correctly then Italy, Spain and Poland are fucked.
It would be great if world population got back to 1-2 billion like it has been for most of history.
Yesterday in Spain, temperature records were broken by 2 degrees, when the climate targets were 1.5 degrees within 25 years. This is devastating tourism, which will move further north. Furthermore, the average salary is currently equal to the rent, making it impossible for young people to have children. Climate change and living conditions are going to devastate southern Europe.
Up to this point, UN projections (about fertility) have always been too optimistic. It may be even worse than this.
Can someone explain what happens in ukraine before 2022 ?
How is France so stable? Because of african immigration?
Why are France and the UK projected to rise?
Ukraine is completely f’ed in the a.
Notice that for readability, this only includes the 10 largest countries of Europe (in 2024)
Concerning.
It was exactly graphs like these that caused the current housing crisis in Germany. 20 years ago they estimated a shrinking population, so they decreased the number of new housing projects. Guess what, Germany grew by 4 million people, and now housing is unaffordable and hard to find.
It’s ok, maybe all the immigrants will only convert us to space Islam like in Dune.
50 year long population predictions are pretty worthless. Population growth is exponential and the certainty of growth rate prediction is strongly decreasing with every decade of projection length. There can be massive and sudden changes in the growth rate due to currently completely unforeseeable events.
It is really like looking at the bottom of your tea cup. Doesn’t matter if the UN is doing it or anyone else. Would you give the weather prediction for the 1.10.2100 and the precipitation amount on that day much consideration?
So basically, with the possible exception of Ukraine, any drop in population over the rest of the century won’t even offset the growth over the last century. People make such a fuss over nothing.
I dont buy the projections for one second. With the falling birthrates we should probably be dropping more than that but we shouldn’t see THIS many flat lines at the end.
The UK population is not going to dip … Far, far from that.
United Nations hobby is to extrapolate.
Long-term economic projections have the only value of making astrology seem trustworthy
Italy having had briefly more people than France and the UK surprises me
LETS GO ITALY LETS MAKE IT CRASH FASTER 👏🏻👏🏻👏🏻
With Russian catastrofic defeat Europe will get its new wave. Cheap resources, large undevelopped market. Europe should follow real-politic trends, so loved by Putin amd Trump. End of Russian – will mean prosperity for Europe.
My concern is that Europe will be flooded with Indians everywhere since they are the only ones growing massively.
Unless the German economy collapses, the population will continue to grow. The last government already announced its intention to increase it to at least 90 million, and there is no reason to believe that the current government will deviate from this course.
If you want a welfare state, have sex and make babies.
Poland Strong!
I guess in 2100 there won’t be any real europeans in Europe
This graph says we are never going to hit 20 million wich as this point is bullshit
Rich countries plateau. PIGS die.
This can’t be updated, Spain is already on 49,1 so almost 1,3 million over that value.