ss: The comprehensive analysis utilised extensive data on birth rates, mortality, and fertility trends to predict future demographic changes. Findings suggest that by 2050, the populations of three-quarters of all countries will experience a decrease
This trend is expected to expand significantly, with projections indicating that by the year 2100, 97 percent of 204 countries and territories analysed will see their populations shrink.
According to the research, the fertility rate in half of all countries is already below the level needed to maintain their current population sizes.
The study was an update of the IHME’s Global Burden of Disease study. The organisation, set up at the University of Washington by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, has become a global reference for health statistics.
Economy-Fee5830 on
Automation may keep the wheels in motion, but it does not replace consumers, so I anticipate long-term economic decline.
For example we may have robots which can build houses, but no-one who wants to live in them.
Or automated factories making shoes, but no-one to buy them.
It would be like a town hollowing out over time as young people leave, except on a global scale.
The real question is, if we don’t have to work for a living, would we have children for fun or to give our lives meaning? That would not be an impossible outcome.
Lirdon on
Some people fail to realize just how massive our population really is. Humans constitute something along the lines of 60% of ALL MAMAL BIOMASS. Of the rest of it, some 30 percent is the livestock we maintain. Humans also constitute growth of some 10 times the mamal biomass in the last few centuries.
We need to find a sustainable middle point where we can support a constant population and not compete with each other on dwindling resources.
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ss: The comprehensive analysis utilised extensive data on birth rates, mortality, and fertility trends to predict future demographic changes. Findings suggest that by 2050, the populations of three-quarters of all countries will experience a decrease
This trend is expected to expand significantly, with projections indicating that by the year 2100, 97 percent of 204 countries and territories analysed will see their populations shrink.
According to the research, the fertility rate in half of all countries is already below the level needed to maintain their current population sizes.
The study was an update of the IHME’s Global Burden of Disease study. The organisation, set up at the University of Washington by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, has become a global reference for health statistics.
Automation may keep the wheels in motion, but it does not replace consumers, so I anticipate long-term economic decline.
For example we may have robots which can build houses, but no-one who wants to live in them.
Or automated factories making shoes, but no-one to buy them.
It would be like a town hollowing out over time as young people leave, except on a global scale.
The real question is, if we don’t have to work for a living, would we have children for fun or to give our lives meaning? That would not be an impossible outcome.
Some people fail to realize just how massive our population really is. Humans constitute something along the lines of 60% of ALL MAMAL BIOMASS. Of the rest of it, some 30 percent is the livestock we maintain. Humans also constitute growth of some 10 times the mamal biomass in the last few centuries.
We need to find a sustainable middle point where we can support a constant population and not compete with each other on dwindling resources.