North Korea could have more nuclear weapons than the UK by 2035 thanks to technical assistance from Russia, analysts have warned.
The country currently has an arsenal of around 50 nuclear warheads but that could surge to 300 within a decade as Russia pays back Kim Jong-un for the troops that Pyongyang sent to fight the war against Ukraine.
North Korea could “very probably” already detonate a nuclear weapon over a US city and its alliance with Moscow means that it is only going to increase its offensive capabilities, according to Ankit Panda, an expert on North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Mr Panda told Radio Free Asia: “The area where I think the Russians can really help them is with guidance computers, cruise missile manoeuvring, cruise missile control and potentially even countermeasures.”
He added that this would “just improve the reliability of North Korea’s manufacturing standards for missile systems”.
# ‘Mutual vulnerability’
Mr Panda said it is likely that Kim, the North Korean dictator, will continue to modernise and expand his nuclear forces to reach a condition of “mutual vulnerability”, whereby Kim feels sufficiently confident that in a crisis the US and its South Korean ally will not be able to eliminate all his nuclear weapons.
To reach that level of stable deterrent, Mr Panda said it will mean an increase from the estimated 50 warheads that Kim presently possesses.
Mr Panda said: “I think by the mid-2030s, we might be looking at a North Korea with 300-plus nuclear warheads.”
In comparison, the UK is believed to have 225 warheads at present, France has around 290 and the US approximately 5,800. Russia is the greatest nuclear power at present, with some 6,375 weapons, but China is understood to be investing heavily in nuclear weapons.
Does this really matter? Certainly after you reach the number where you have a credible deterrent it becomes diminishing returns. NK currently spends like 26% of GDP on their military vs the UKs 2.3% which is 4 billion USD vs 82 billion (will be closer to 100 when the uk reaches 2.5%). It’s a strange comparison to make to be honest.
Seems like their people will just starve more than they are.
ZeroByter on
Surprised it’s not sooner
neropro345 on
In the multipolar world we are heading towards, I expect more countries would now want to get nuclear weapons to safeguard their own national security interests.
I think Ukraine’s current situation, especially in the aftermath of that Trump meeting, would likely push/compel many countries(Taiwan, SK, Iran, Saudi) to build their own nuclear stockpiles and then develop their own nuclear doctrine(like India) so that they always have a Nuclear Trump card against their geopolitical rivals.
MongolianBatman on
This should be an interesting developing situation.
Sumeru88 on
Number of nukes is not very relevant. They can’t go far.
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***The Telegraph reports***:
North Korea could have more nuclear weapons than the UK by 2035 thanks to technical assistance from Russia, analysts have warned.
The country currently has an arsenal of around 50 nuclear warheads but that could surge to 300 within a decade as Russia pays back Kim Jong-un for the troops that Pyongyang sent to fight the war against Ukraine.
North Korea could “very probably” already detonate a nuclear weapon over a US city and its alliance with Moscow means that it is only going to increase its offensive capabilities, according to Ankit Panda, an expert on North Korea’s development of nuclear weapons at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Mr Panda told Radio Free Asia: “The area where I think the Russians can really help them is with guidance computers, cruise missile manoeuvring, cruise missile control and potentially even countermeasures.”
He added that this would “just improve the reliability of North Korea’s manufacturing standards for missile systems”.
# ‘Mutual vulnerability’
Mr Panda said it is likely that Kim, the North Korean dictator, will continue to modernise and expand his nuclear forces to reach a condition of “mutual vulnerability”, whereby Kim feels sufficiently confident that in a crisis the US and its South Korean ally will not be able to eliminate all his nuclear weapons.
To reach that level of stable deterrent, Mr Panda said it will mean an increase from the estimated 50 warheads that Kim presently possesses.
Mr Panda said: “I think by the mid-2030s, we might be looking at a North Korea with 300-plus nuclear warheads.”
In comparison, the UK is believed to have 225 warheads at present, France has around 290 and the US approximately 5,800. Russia is the greatest nuclear power at present, with some 6,375 weapons, but China is understood to be investing heavily in nuclear weapons.
**Full story:** [**https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/03/04/north-korea-to-have-more-nuclear-weapons-than-uk-2035/**](https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/03/04/north-korea-to-have-more-nuclear-weapons-than-uk-2035/)
Who can say it is wrong now
Does this really matter? Certainly after you reach the number where you have a credible deterrent it becomes diminishing returns. NK currently spends like 26% of GDP on their military vs the UKs 2.3% which is 4 billion USD vs 82 billion (will be closer to 100 when the uk reaches 2.5%). It’s a strange comparison to make to be honest.
Seems like their people will just starve more than they are.
Surprised it’s not sooner
In the multipolar world we are heading towards, I expect more countries would now want to get nuclear weapons to safeguard their own national security interests.
I think Ukraine’s current situation, especially in the aftermath of that Trump meeting, would likely push/compel many countries(Taiwan, SK, Iran, Saudi) to build their own nuclear stockpiles and then develop their own nuclear doctrine(like India) so that they always have a Nuclear Trump card against their geopolitical rivals.
This should be an interesting developing situation.
Number of nukes is not very relevant. They can’t go far.