‚City Killer‘ Asteroid hat jetzt 3,1% Chance, die Erde zu treffen: NASA
https://phys.org/news/2025-02-city-killer-asteroid-chance-earth.html
‚City Killer‘ Asteroid hat jetzt 3,1% Chance, die Erde zu treffen: NASA
https://phys.org/news/2025-02-city-killer-asteroid-chance-earth.html
16 Kommentare
Ah yes, time to finally pay my student loans with asteroid insurance fraud.
Have they calculated the odds of it hitting a city. There’s a lot of empty space along the strike zone.
Yes and it’s going to keep increasing until it hits 0%.
are we really going to be seeing this for the next freakin 7 years .. ?
Generic comment stating that a rising impact probability is normal until it suddenly drops to 0.
The way things are going on this planet full of fools, I’m beginning to welcome it.
*crosses fingers* Maralago … maralago … maralago.
Alright everyone, tomorrow it’s my turn to post when it hits 3.5%.
Those are rookie numbers. Let’s get that up in the doubles. Cmon!
Sorry, but I’m downvoting these fear mongering articles to hell from here on out.
Can you explain something what is it meant by 3.1% ? Is it like if 100 such asteroids come threatening us only 3.1 will hit. or Earth is bigger in volume by 100-3.1= 96.9% it will a sliding surface run by the asteroid? or 96.9% chance it will not change it’s course, thereby will miss the Earth? or 3.1 % chance of it changing course this time it hits Earth? Last 2 statements make no sense. The first 2 confusing. What they exactly mean by the original statement..
Sigh I guess these posts are a daily occurrence now 🙃
Yeah and its odds of hitting a city and killing people are slim to none. Article writers looking for to generate any buzz for themselves now.
Seem like the hit probability is going up 1% for every article which is released every other day, when it gets to 2030, it will be close to 1000%
Man it’d be nice if we could stop getting the same clickbait article with varying percentage chances daily.
Can we ban posts about this thing?
There is an imaginary line for the predicted path of this thing, and Earth is on that line. As we learn more about this asteroid that line will get smaller and more accurate.
As the line gets smaller, the amount of that line Earth covers increases. In a purely statistical way, this increases the *imaginary* probability it will hit Earth.
The number will keep increasing as we learn more about the trajectory, then it will drop to 0% once we see it won’t actually hit us.