Maybe we deserve it. On the other hand, maybe this will help us all unite to save humanity
*cue heroic music*
Feeling-Matter-4091 on
Yeah. And if it hits somewhere then it’s „thoughts and prayers“. That usually helps a lot….
slicheliche on
I think it’s kinda pointless to keep guessing the probabilities at this stage as they most likely will be in a very similar range to the ones that we already have. I imagine we won’t get any new substantial information for a while. It took Apophis two years to be downgraded.
Either way, worst case scenario it would cause a Tunguska-like event over southern India or the coast of Nigeria. Which is…not ideal but also not world ending.
Otacon56 on
The odds keep increasing over the past few weeks, a couple weeks ago, it was 1.3%, then they were saying 1.5% now it’s 1.9%
roenick99 on
Is there anything we can do as citizens to bring this number down? I’m thinking a 1 in 1 chance would be the best outcome. If we all jump at the same time on the correct side of the planet could we maybe move it enough to put it in the path. Just spitballing here.
NavierIsStoked on
We won’t get a true estimate until after the next flyby in 2028.
bagsofcandy on
Is this because the uncertainty volume shrinking and earth is still within it? If so, the probability will keep going up until it shrinks to the point where earth goes outside the uncertainty volume. Then the probability will go to almost 0.
Falconflyer75 on
Wonder if this will be the grand finale of the 2020s
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Maybe we deserve it. On the other hand, maybe this will help us all unite to save humanity
*cue heroic music*
Yeah. And if it hits somewhere then it’s „thoughts and prayers“. That usually helps a lot….
I think it’s kinda pointless to keep guessing the probabilities at this stage as they most likely will be in a very similar range to the ones that we already have. I imagine we won’t get any new substantial information for a while. It took Apophis two years to be downgraded.
Either way, worst case scenario it would cause a Tunguska-like event over southern India or the coast of Nigeria. Which is…not ideal but also not world ending.
The odds keep increasing over the past few weeks, a couple weeks ago, it was 1.3%, then they were saying 1.5% now it’s 1.9%
Is there anything we can do as citizens to bring this number down? I’m thinking a 1 in 1 chance would be the best outcome. If we all jump at the same time on the correct side of the planet could we maybe move it enough to put it in the path. Just spitballing here.
We won’t get a true estimate until after the next flyby in 2028.
Is this because the uncertainty volume shrinking and earth is still within it? If so, the probability will keep going up until it shrinks to the point where earth goes outside the uncertainty volume. Then the probability will go to almost 0.
Wonder if this will be the grand finale of the 2020s