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31 Kommentare
**Source:** https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-national-detail.html
**Tool:** Excel
Birth rates have indeed been staidly falling, but is looking much healthier than most countries.
Why the dip in 50-year-olds?
Big bulge of 60 year olds suggest a big drain on social security
but by the time they mostly pass around 75 the following generation is much less on social security but by then there will be less workers as youngest generation is not as big
Surplus is a grim word to use
Pretty healthy looking distribution really
Good news is the size of the surplus is about the same as the prison population, so it all balances out.
I feel called out being a male right on the peak in the 20s
What’s with the male surplus in younger people?
The Summer of Love ain’t no joke
US has by far and away the healthiest population pyramid in the developed world with the only exception of Israel.
Country|0-14 year old (% of population)|50-64 year olds
:–|:–:|–:
Italy|12.2%|23.5%
Germany|14%|22.5%
France|17%|19.4%
USA|17.6%|18.5%
It’s an American pyramid. Shouldn’t it start at -0.75?
I would like to point out that this age distribution contributes significantly to the problem of growing loneliness (i.e. being without a romantic or sexual partner) among young men.
A surplus of, let’s say 3%, doesn’t seem to amount to much. You have 103 males for 100 females. Seems negligible.
But now consider that, at a certain age, the majority of people have partnered up or have left the ‚dating pool‘ for other reasons – health etc. If 80% of people by the age of 25 have left the dating pool, there is a remaining 23 men competing for 20 women. If the number is 90% partnered up, you have 13 men for 10 women. This 30% surplus soon becomes a very noticeable pressure for the remaining single men with inevitable losers who are simply outnumbered by their competitors. People change their behavior in the face of these odds.
(Edit: Yes, this is simplified. Numbers become more complicated when you include homosexuals (there are more gays then lesbians), aromantics or asexuals (mostly women), or people who leave the dating pool for other reasons (military, jail, health problems etc.). But still, the quantitative (hetero) gender bias is immediately noticeable at all places where single people like to hang out.)
Now consider that young women also have a different age range for dating. A 20-year-old man can usually date someone between 17 and 22, while a 20-year-old woman can choose between men aged 18-30. Again, this does increase pressure considerably.
Since people often tend to read these posts as personal complaints, let me be clear that this is not *my* problem and not about *me* at all. I am way out of this age group and have also been happily married for over a decade now. But given the fact that people do find it more acceptable to talk about loneliness these days, and given the societal implications male loneliness brings with it, I find that these two merely quantitative factors are often left out of debate and would merit more consideration. We need to show more compassion and understanding to the people who lose out on the partner market.
So what you’re saying is I should stop going after the 20-30 year old ladies and start going after GILFs?
Spike of 23s, Y2K fallout.
33 gang represent; we’re the boomers, now
It’s so funny that redditors see the surplus female bars at the older ages and go „that’s because of the FALLEN in BATTLE and WAR“ and forget about heart disease.
that means as a male in 20s i have to reach for female in 80s?
An ageing population is the inevitable unpleasant aftereffect of a population boom. There’s no way around it. But the problem in East Asia is worse than it should be due to the fertility rate decreasing so much. Africa is going to experience population ageing badly in coming decades. Although it might be mitigated by many people dying before they reach an advanced old age.
It’s crazy to think that in 20 years half of all 60 year olds will be gone. I’m gonna go call my mom
Good Times for Gilf hunters
This also looks like the silhouette of the average American 🧐
Even our population pyramid has gotten fat!
Millennials were the last large generation
Fun fact, more males are born but higher rate of accidents and diseases
Dont worry. That male 18 to 24 surplus tends to cull itself.
This population pyramid is a sausage fest.
My math could be wrong because it’s early but that little spike at 53 y.o. coincides with being knocked up in “the summer of ‘69”. With the music, the cars, and the sex, it seems like that was peak Americana
Men in under 30, you gotta slam some GILFAs or youre gonna be alone forever
So the hot singles in my area are actually over 60.
What stage of the Demographic Transition Model would this categorize as? Stage 4? What happens when we reach stage 5?
If you were born in 1973 you have a weirdly higher chance of being dead than just a few years to either side.