Wo werden wir im Jahr 2049 im Weltraum sein? Ein Blick auf die Raumfahrt der nächsten 25 Jahre – Werden wir endlich eine Basis auf dem Mars haben – oder vielleicht sogar eine Stadt?
https://www.space.com/spaceflight-evolution-next-25-years-moon-mars
Wo werden wir im Jahr 2049 im Weltraum sein? Ein Blick auf die Raumfahrt der nächsten 25 Jahre – Werden wir endlich eine Basis auf dem Mars haben – oder vielleicht sogar eine Stadt?
https://www.space.com/spaceflight-evolution-next-25-years-moon-mars
8 Kommentare
From the artcile
>The next quarter-century promises to be action-packed as well, with humanity taking ever-greater leaps into the final frontier — perhaps all the way to [the moon](https://www.space.com/55-earths-moon-formation-composition-and-orbit.html) and [Mars](https://www.space.com/47-mars-the-red-planet-fourth-planet-from-the-sun.html). Predicting the future is a fool’s errand, but let’s do so anyway. Here’s a look at a few of the big-picture spaceflight trends that seem set to unfold between now and 2049.
We will definitely have a presence on the moon, mars and probably one or two of the asteroids. They will be mostly robotic and the big question is, how many humans do we send out there? Is it a mass migration or work crews who are there to do jobs the robots can’t handle.
LMAO nowhere is the key answer here just like always.
I’d say zero chance of a city on Mars in only 25 years. We need much better technology to justify thousands of ppl on Mars.
Humans can’t really live in low gravity safely for all that long. We don’t know what the exact effects of Mars .37g is, but it’s well under half of what humans and all their ancestors evolved to for billions of years. It’s probably way too low to have a long term colony other than cycling ppl out constantly, which more or less defeats the purpose of scaling up Mars research outpost to a city.
Humans are SUPER evolved for Earth, so realistically we can’t live in space because we can’t change gravity in any practical way. We can find planets with Earth like gravity and make that work OR we can stay on Earth is more or less the options anytime soon. The radiation is comparatively easy to solve vs the low gravity, ppl just don’t like to admit it’s such a big problem because a lot of talk about space exploration like this is just to keep kids imagination going.
I don’t expect we ever learn how to manipulate gravity much, so I expect artificial gravity along with warp drives to never happen and we have to change the way we’ve imagined space exploration.
MAYBE we will have small Moon settlement. Western, or Chinese. Maybe both. I hope we will have at least an Mars manned landing by that time, but wouldn’t be too sure.
A base on Mars? Will be lucky even to get to Mars in 25 years.
Considering it will be at least 2.5c warming, I’d say nobody will be in space.
**Moon settlement makes sense short term** as a defense base. Specially on the „far side of the moon“ where a rocket launch could be hidden and put on a path to hit earth targets.
Current defense tech detects rocket launches as they blast into the sky at relatively low speed. Many countries have access to satellite systems that can warn of an ICBM launch. Lunar launch could give far less warning. In part because a dark side launch will not have a visible launch plume, and also because they could do most of the target navigation while hidden behind the moon, and send the warhead towards the target with little visible signature until it enters the atmosphere.