Es spielt keine Rolle, wie diese Nachwahl in Toronto ausgeht – jedes Szenario ist irgendwie schlecht für Justin Trudeaus Liberale

Trudeau will win again. It’s several versions of “ist” for Canadians to not elect him again.

Here is my thought on all of this. This byelection is in a ‘safe’ liberal riding; and is known to be a highly unlikely win for the conservatives. Yes, if they win, it would be a massive blow against trudeau, because it means his stronghold has faultered. The opposite, however, is a false equivalency. The conservatives losing this (by a far thinner margin than in the past) is highly likely, but it isn’t d*mning for them. In any capacity. While Toronto being a liberal, unshakable, stronghold is a massive problem for the rest of canada (almost bad as the bloc representing quebec and therefore granting them wild amounts of power), the conservatives don’t have to win toronto to win the election. What left leaning media wants is to make this a fight for trudeau’s leadership and a fight for whether or not the next election is still viable for him, knowing very well his party is highly likely to win, and if that happens, it means nadda for the federal election, but if (very small if) he loses, they are conceeding that, ya… it means his support base is gone and the liberals will likely be third party status.