Die Krise, die die iranische Führung nicht ignorieren kann
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/06/iran-economy-crisis/687489/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo
Die Krise, die die iranische Führung nicht ignorieren kann
https://www.theatlantic.com/international/2026/06/iran-economy-crisis/687489/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo
11 Kommentare
Arash Azizi: “The war between Iran and Israel and the United States has been an economic catastrophe for Iranians. Their country has lost at least 1 million jobs—possibly 2 million—since the war began. In the same period, almost 300,000 eligible Iranians have signed up for unemployment insurance, and job-seeking websites are so inundated with new applications that they keep crashing.
“U.S. and Israeli strikes over the winter degraded Iran’s industrial capacity. At the same time, the blockade that the U.S. imposed on the Strait of Hormuz, in response to Iran’s seizure of control of the waterway, has made life difficult for businesses that rely on imports. So has the continued fall of the Iranian currency: A U.S. dollar now sells for 1.75 million Iranian rials.
“The regime compounded these effects with its total shutdown of the internet, first during the mass protests in January and then during the war. Access is now mostly restored, but for many Iranians who relied on the internet for their work, the damage is already done. Iran might end up experiencing a double-digit economic contraction this year—a calamity with little precedent in its modern history.
“Many Iranians I spoke with last week were acutely suffering …
“Some analysts outside the country emphasize Iran’s military resilience and downplay its economic vulnerability … But economists and ordinary citizens inside Iran seem to see this rather differently—and to know that unless Iran takes measures to reverse its economic decline, it will continue to face political crises.”
Read more: [https://theatln.tc/5Xqzqpr4](https://theatln.tc/5Xqzqpr4)
Can you post the article?
Hard to have a discussion or debate it if we can’t see it.
The real problem is they can and will ignore it. The regime is still hanging protestors from the latest protests early this year, they are nowhere near wiped out.
But this war isn’t about human suffering.
Unless defectors are in mass or the people obtain weapons, the faltering economy seems isn’t as much of a concern to the IRGC who has shown they see their populace as expendable.
Iran’s economy wasn’t doing well prior to war, hence protests. The reopening of the internet despite populace hating them shows it does worry them to some degree but how much exactly is anyone’s guess.
Once again bad article by the atlantic. Iran can’t choose Israel to stop bombing.
The US and Israel have broken deals with Iran multible times. They would need to provide some serious incentive like immidate compensations to build trust.
Iran either needs the toll fees to rebuilt or lift of sanctions and compensation from the US and Israel. Some sort of toll is way more likely.
At this point we are looking at post-1991 2.0 Iraq.
I’ve heard that Iran recently implemented a series of measures to boost the economy and alleviate economic pressures, but the author seems to have completely ignored that?
I don’t think regime that lines kids up for the last 47 years to chant „death to Israel“ and „death to America“ is going to be pragmatic and agree a deal to help their people. The biggest issue is not the economy or even the war, but the water shortages
Iran leaders care as much as Trump for their populace. Not much!
Article’s subhead: *Two months into the cease-fire, the Iranian economy lies in tatters.*
From another source today: *Drinking Water Facilities Hit by U.S. Strikes in Iran*
Good. This is unfortunately how some wars have to be fought. You have a nation’s leaders determined to wage war at the expense of their citizens. Then you have to make the costs of war so high that the plight of those citizens can’t be ignored. From water article:
>Emergency crews were racing to reestablish water supplies
In WWII, we bombed and killed hundred of thousands of German and Japanese civilians. This lesser approach in Iran is justified. The more „emergency crews“ Iran has to form of help civilians, the less robust Iran’s war-making capacity will become. Eventual step: Destroy Iran’s power grid?
Kudos to The Atlantic for at least offering this perspective. It is remarkable to me how under reported the collapse of the Iranian economy is. I don’t think folks appreciate how crippling a blockade is.
The IRGC will never capitulate based solely on the suffering of their people. They are true hard liners. But it should be reported nonetheless.
My personal prediction is that absolutely nothing will happen for an excruciating amount of time, perhaps a decade or two. The US blockade will remain in effect, as will the Iranian closure. This is the new stalemate.