Ich habe die von 1957 bis 2026E jährlich gestarteten Satelliten kartiert, gruppiert nach den USA, Russland/UdSSR, China, dem Rest der Welt und Starlink.
Die meiste Zeit des Weltraumzeitalters sahen Satellitenstarts wie ein Wettbewerb zwischen nationalen Programmen aus.
Dann erscheint Starlink im Jahr 2019 und verändert den Maßstab völlig.
Bis 2026E soll allein Starlink auf den Markt kommen 3.587 Satelliten – mehr als alle anderen Gruppen zusammen in dieser Prognose.
Bei der Zahl für 2026E handelt es sich um eine Schätzung, die auf Markteinführungen seit Jahresbeginn basiert und unter Berücksichtigung der historischen Saisonalität der Markteinführungen angepasst wurde.
Von ExaminationOk6652
31 Kommentare
**Source:** GCAT / Jonathan McDowell
**Data as of:** June 3, 2026
**Tools:** Python, Adobe Illustrator
**Method:** Cleaned annual satellite/payload launch data and grouped it by U.S., Russia / USSR, China, Rest of World, and Starlink.
**Note:** 2026E is projected from year-to-date launches using historical seasonality.
I have a friend that does orbital management for a company and it’s turned to ass in the past couple years because SpaceX has a 51% share in satellites your satellite could collide with, so their laissez-faire approach to conjunctions is the de facto standard everyone else has to work around
At this point SpaceX has launched more than half of all satellites *ever* in space.
This doesn’t seem like a good thing
Great. Who gets to pay for bringing all these things down safely.
It would be interesting to see the same chart with mass put in orbit since the Starlink satellites are much smaller than „usual“ satellites and also in much lower orbit.
If we hit Kessler Syndrome I hope the world collectively blames Starlink.
They are launched in clusters of 20 or more. So 3,000 starlinks are from just 150 launches approximately.
This is how we speed run [Kessler Syndrome](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kessler_syndrome)
Pieces of food eaten per meal: WTF Rice
Don’t these stats just show who launches lots of tiny satellites?
Can we get this correlated to funding somewhere?
You forgot Project West Ford – USA launched 400 million in 1963 – that will be the most difficult record to break and will probably never be exceeded.
Absolute insane amount of space trash, for an insane amount of infrastructure relatively few people are using. For tech that isnt useable for the mass anyway, and shouldnt be used by the mass either.
in what way is the chart broken?
I mean it doesnt help that they’re also a fucking rocket company
This is the spy network for billionaires
Space junk. Space junk as far as the eye can see.
Russia is not the USSR and vice versa.
The Soviet Union put the first satellite and first person in space.
Russia today has yet to successfully land a rover on the moon.
Would it kill you to gave a key?
Ah, a perfectly timed post born completely out of someone’s passion for data visualization that has nothing to do with luring investors for an IPO or anything 👍
Google ‚Kessler Effect‘ and then decide if this is really a good thing.
Kessler syndrome speed run
inb4 10 years from now when: Elon will be begging for a govt handout when we have so much debris and shit in space that it requires a cleanup—and whos gonna cleanup a mess that rich dumb fuks make?
The taxpayer
Starlink, some sort of array of satellites in the sky connecting everyone through the internet. Some sort of Skynet if you will
To maintain starlink they have to keep this up…. forever? Seems like a profitable and sustainable model for niche internet service.
Starlink sattelites are launched in clusters, so one launch equals roughly 20 sattelites. Also it is worth noting that because Starlink sattelites are in a very low altitude orbit each one of them will experience much more atmospheric drag and will disintegrate in roughly 5 years.
So this is NOT a good comparison.
This clearly captures the crazy impact SpaceX has made. Image what the sky will look like in 50 years!
Is this a stacked chart or is it not?? You’re mixing the styles of a stacked chart and a regular and that makes the data confusing.
(eg, in 1980 did the us and ussr launch the same number of satellites or did the us launch ~none?)
🎶 🎶 What goes up, must come down
What must rise, must fall
And what goes on in your life
Is writing on the wall 🎶🎶
By Alan Parsons Project
I’m just wondering, how is this better than just laying out decent fibre connections?
Houston we cluttered the skies so people can see AI slop.