Die Ermittler von Bubblemaps unter der Leitung von Nicolas Vaiman entdeckten 80 Wetten auf Polymarket mit einer Gewinnquote von 98 %, die seiner Meinung nach statistisch unmöglich zu erreichen sei
https://www.coindesk.com/business/2026/05/21/crypto-prediction-markets-are-turning-into-dangerous-national-security-risks-and-congress-wants-to-ban-them
13 Kommentare
A 98% win rate across dozens of geopolitical bets is honestly insane if the data is accurate.
> a cluster of 80 highly accurate bets on **U.S. military actions against Iran**
This is even worse than the title suggests
I can’t believe people fall for this “prediction market” shenanigans. It’s just gambling that’s even more rigged than a casino.
Ok, who collected the winnings? Poly market sure as fuck knows.
Well how can we copy trade them?
He’s wrong, unless the bets are placed early or are market moving.
Everyone is looking for a 2x or more, take the late bet and follow the trend. Bank $10-20 and move on.
Now do that for 40-50 positions a day or automate
It and scale.
Wait until find out who owns polymarket casino. It is rigged as hell
Honestly if they let me in on it I’ll let it slide
>Bubblemaps’ CEO warns that adversaries could mine prediction markets for clues to U.S. war plans, turning them into tools of intelligence and information warfare and potentially endangering lives.
I had this same concern when prediction markets started picking up in popularity, but I guess the overall consensus is that we should always prioritize financial gain over anything, including national security.
Crypto investigators are doing better detective work than some actual agencies at this point.
So sad to hear about his car accident tomorrow
What kind of idiot uses the same account? Everyone who’s ever seen a card counting or money laundering scene in a movie knows you have to make a bunch of burner accounts.
„Potential of prediction markets to be manipulated“ lmao. Thats quite the way of putting the rigged bs that those platforms are.