Eine neue Studie über die Nachkriegszeit in den USA zeigt, welche Arten von Arbeitnehmern in der Vergangenheit neue technologiegestützte Arbeitsplätze besetzten.
A new study of U.S. employment led by MIT labor economist David Autor sheds light on all these matters. In the postwar U.S., as Autor and his colleagues show in granular detail, new forms of work have tended to benefit college graduates under 30 more than anyone else.
“We had never before seen exactly who is doing new work,” Autor says. “It’s done more by young and educated people, in urban settings.”
The study also contains a powerful large-scale insight: A lot of innovation-based new work is driven by demand. Government-backed expansion of research and manufacturing in the 1940s, in response to World War II, accounted for a huge amount of new work, and new forms of expertise.
nihithilak on
Markets will get flooded by things that can built with or have building be assisted by ai. Those thing will become practically worthless. Anything left will have very low value until most people die off from famine or whatever and then prices for those things will stabilize.
Daxx22 on
Some jobs sure. Anything approaching equivalent replacement especially for a still growing population? Not a chance.
Kenucker on
Speaking from a technology/software point of
view no. They’re the first positions being replaced by AI.
0r0B0t0 on
It will teach them how to repair the cardboard box they live in
SeacoastGuy74 on
Technology has been grooming people NOT to think, develop skills, or do anything on their own, for a good 20 years now.
When it hits a full generation, you’ll have a population that can’t live without being told what to do. And guess what’s going to be there to take care of that need.
Hungry_Age5375 on
Autor’s demand-side thesis is right. WWII proved it. Where’s the public AI investment now? UAE deploying agentic AI across government services at 50% coverage target. That’s the demand driver he describes. Just not here.
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From the article
A new study of U.S. employment led by MIT labor economist David Autor sheds light on all these matters. In the postwar U.S., as Autor and his colleagues show in granular detail, new forms of work have tended to benefit college graduates under 30 more than anyone else.
“We had never before seen exactly who is doing new work,” Autor says. “It’s done more by young and educated people, in urban settings.”
The study also contains a powerful large-scale insight: A lot of innovation-based new work is driven by demand. Government-backed expansion of research and manufacturing in the 1940s, in response to World War II, accounted for a huge amount of new work, and new forms of expertise.
Markets will get flooded by things that can built with or have building be assisted by ai. Those thing will become practically worthless. Anything left will have very low value until most people die off from famine or whatever and then prices for those things will stabilize.
Some jobs sure. Anything approaching equivalent replacement especially for a still growing population? Not a chance.
Speaking from a technology/software point of
view no. They’re the first positions being replaced by AI.
It will teach them how to repair the cardboard box they live in
Technology has been grooming people NOT to think, develop skills, or do anything on their own, for a good 20 years now.
When it hits a full generation, you’ll have a population that can’t live without being told what to do. And guess what’s going to be there to take care of that need.
Autor’s demand-side thesis is right. WWII proved it. Where’s the public AI investment now? UAE deploying agentic AI across government services at 50% coverage target. That’s the demand driver he describes. Just not here.