Quelle: Office of Management and Budget Historical Table 1.1 (Budget für das Geschäftsjahr 2027)
In R mit GGplot2 erstellte Visualisierung.
Dieses Diagramm zeigt die jährlichen Überschüsse und Defizite des US-Bundeshaushalts von 1901 bis 2025 anhand historischer OMB-Haushaltsdaten.
Ein interessantes Muster ist, wie sich die anhaltenden Defizite nach den 1970er Jahren entwickelten, mit nur einer kurzen Überschussperiode in den späten 1990er und frühen 2000er Jahren.
Große Spitzen entsprechen Zeiten von Kriegen, Wirtschaftskrisen und groß angelegten fiskalischen Eingriffen, einschließlich des Ersten und Zweiten Weltkriegs, der Finanzkrise von 2008 und COVID-19.
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Von forensiceconomics
21 Kommentare
what caused that major surplus from like 1997 to 2001?
Just for fun, add some color scheme to show who was president each year. Might be interesting
Would be nice to show this in inflation adjusted dollars and percent of gdp
Jeebus, that was one hell of a recovery under Biden.
“Richest country in the world”
„Major spikes correspond to periods of war, economic crisis, and large-scale fiscal intervention, including World War I, World War II, the 2008 financial crisis, and COVID-19“
And the Reagan years, 1981-88. Trying to spend his way to prosperity without raising taxes, expecting “trickle-down” to benefit all. Helped the rich get much richer, helped kill the middle class, increased the number of poor.
Hmm what happened around 1980 what could it be
that surplus was bill clinton. republicans hate him because he did everything they swear they are going to do.. but forget 5 seconds after taking office and instead just line their pockets
Donald Trump is a financial crisis for the country. He was the first time too.
This cuts off right before Trump’s record-breaking debt. He’s on pace to be worse than the 2008 financial crisis.
I’d love to know what party was in control of congress each year
„Values in nominal dollars“. Now plot this as deficit as a percentage of the GDP at the time.
GEE WHO WAS PRESIDENT IN 2020??? THAT GUY WAS AMAZING!!!
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[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Van_Halen_test](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Van_Halen_test)
If I don’t see a log scale on this, I’m assuming the rest of the work is just as sloppy.
ALL financial charts that just show raw dollar-amounts are more misleading than informative, because regardless of what you’re showing, in reality the chart will just show a flat line up until very recently, and then it seemingly goes crazy in the last couple decades.
And that’s true even for things that has no important difference. The chart would look like this even if surplus/deficit was more or less constant as a fraction of GDP.
So when people do this, there’s two possibilities. Either you’re incompetent enough to not realize that failing to account for things like inflation over timescales well over a century makes the graph utterly meaningless — or you DO KNOW that but are deliberately **choosing** not to correct for it, because that furthers a political goal of yours.
I don’t know which of these two options it is, but neither is great.
This is essentially useless as is without making it real dollars (inflation adjusted). Even though deficits themselves contribute to inflation, you still need to adjust for it anyway to show the relative contribution of years vs each other, which is all about % not raw dollars.
While it is interesting to look at this and try to interpret some political points, I urge you to consider 2 things…
* that policies can influence graphs like these for decades
* that the white house also needs congress to pass that legislation
The point is, don’t look at the deficit/surplus each year, analyze the policies that collectively influenced this data. Anything else is lazy at best, manipulative at worst.
Bill Clinton pulled a federal budget surplus and kept us entertained – this is why the republicans absolutely hated him
The massive deficits run up under republican administrations and the clear reduction (or even surpluses) under democratic administrations… whenever you hear „conservatives“ talk about how much they care about the deficit, just refer to this graph.
This data is beautiful? That’s terrifying!
Wouldn’t a more accurate depiction of this table be the U.S. Deficit in constant dollars (say 2020 or 2024) rather than in actual dollars? The money we spent in WW 1&2 were enormous for their time, even today. But because of inflation, it doesnt seem appear as dramatic as recent years.