Wenn Sie heutzutage den Fehler machen, auf Facebook zu stolpern, werden Sie leicht auf eine Flut von Kommentaren zu Beiträgen stoßen, in denen behauptet wird, dass es einen Anstieg der Sterberate jüngerer Menschen gegeben habe. Das ist kategorisch falsch. In den letzten Jahrzehnten ist die Zahl der jährlich sterbenden jungen Erwachsenen zurückgegangen. Ich habe die CSO-Todesdaten für die Altersgruppe der 15- bis 34-Jährigen grafisch dargestellt und zeigt, wie die Zahl der Todesfälle von über 900 Menschen pro Jahr auf 500 pro Jahr gesunken ist. Die Fehlinformationen stammen im Allgemeinen von Skeptikern der Covid-19-Impfung, die eine falsche Darstellung verbreiten wollen, dass die Zahl der sterbenden jungen Menschen zunimmt, und meiner Erfahrung nach verbreitet sich diese Lüge auf andere, die unschuldig sind "fühlen" das scheint wahr zu sein. Auch eine Reihe von Politikern haben diese Behauptung vertreten, um Misstrauen zu säen. Meiner Meinung nach funktioniert es aus folgenden Gründen:
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Rip.ie-Beiträge werden auf Facebook geteilt. Das hatten wir vor 15 bis 20 Jahren noch nie. Wenn Sie also anfangen, regelmäßig Posts über Todesfälle zu sehen, verbindet Ihr Gehirn dies mit einem Anstieg der Todesfälle.
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Einfacher Zugang zu ununterbrochenen Informationen, immer mehr Menschen haben Zugriff auf das Internet und soziale Netzwerke und können nicht zwischen Informationen und Fehlinformationen unterscheiden.
Ich habe das Diagramm hier unter Verwendung von CSO-Todesfällen und Bevölkerungsdatensätzen zusammengestellt – für 23 und 24 musste ich den VDA45-Datensatz verwenden, da es eine Verzögerung gibt, bis der VSA35-Datensatz mit endgültigen Kategorisierungen von Todesfällen aktualisiert wird, aber tendenziell recht genau ist, da die Kategorisierung von Todesfällen durch Selbstverletzung etwas länger dauert, daher erwarte ich, dass die letzten orangefarbenen Balken noch etwas ansteigen. (Ich möchte jedoch betonen, dass die Selbstverletzungsrate der Todesfälle pro Kopf seit Ende der 90er Jahre um 40 % gesunken ist – wir befinden uns in einer Krise der psychischen Gesundheit, aber das liegt daran, dass wir darüber reden und dadurch den Eindruck erwecken, dass sie häufiger vorkommt, aber die tatsächliche Sterblichkeitsrate hat sich kontinuierlich verbessert.)
Kopieren Sie dieses Bild gerne und fügen Sie es ein, wenn Sie sehen, dass Leute Falschinformationen darüber verbreiten, dass jüngere Menschen in diesem Land häufiger sterben.
https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1sytm5x
Von AbsolutelyDireWolf
26 Kommentare
I know, I committed the sin of using excel to pull together the data, but that’s all I’ve got at my disposal. Beyond that, it’s been a few years since I cared about the quality of the graphs I make, but happy to take on any feedback for making the graph more legible or easier to read for non-statsy minded folk.
I’ve been watching this trend of misinfo growing for a few years and just wanted to do something to push back against it.
Facebook is where you can publish any crazy notion and present it as fact to people who can’t or won’t research said notion
Soros shill /s
Of course for intelligent people we can see that mortality rates have fallen but the others have already made up their minds based on a Facebook post
By now billions of people are dead because of a vaccine apparently.
Interesting data, thank you for posting in such a straightforward and easy to read chart. This is a good news story but that doesn’t mean it isn’t worth exploring. I wonder what the causes for the falling death rates among young people are. Is it medical improvements? Is it a reduction in accidents? Also interesting to note that the Covid years don’t seem to have any real impact.
Could it be true for America, where most influence is being created?
I’ve noticed people getting angry about problems we don’t really have in Ireland, because they’ve developed a perception we have, due to Americans talking about American problems and the Irish person taking it as a global problem!
[ Removed by Reddit ]
It’s the same kinda trend with violent crime and murder. Per capita it’s way down but people think it’s up.
No one here is paying attention to what people are saying on Facebook
According to social media, the country has been invaded by a million knife-wielding rapists who want to force everyone to conform to Muslim Taliban ideals. It’s so stupid, yet I personally know people who believe it.
At this stage, if it appears on Facebook, I just assume it’s bullshit being spread by Russian, Israeli and American bots.
Incredible drop in 20 years.
Does this factor in the emigration? Not saying you wrong here, but if say 25% of people in this age group emigrated in this time period, how would this affect the numbers?
I find when in conversation with people when they cite facebook as their source I immediately make my mind up about this person and switch off from then engagement, I have discovered there is no convincing these people so decide not to engage and waste energy.
Can you easily pull this data for other age groupings?
I would be interested to see the same chart for the next age bracket up.
I’m not on any of those other platforms so i don’t see this misinformation directly, but from talking to people (my own age(middle aged)) I get the same sentiment about increased suicide, again this could be because those people are consuming misinformation, or because suicide wasnt reported as such in the past etc etc.
Still trying to blame the vaccine I imagine
This is very cool. Any chance you could do it for other age groups? I constantly see those claims on Twitter, FB etc
Social media has weaponised the morons of society.
Overall the world is becoming a better place. Social media and the news only reports on negativity because positive stuff doesn’t cause as much emotional charge, skewing people’s perceptions. Stop listening to panic and cortisol addicted doom scrollers. /r/OptimistsUnite
https://preview.redd.it/wnsz3y6ct3yg1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b09d2c80f9e93f66ad3451c48a26c5de6371070c
This is why we have a central statistics office not an angry Facebook user to do the counting.
The great news is that one of the reasons for this awesome decline in suitcase deaths is that we as a society have changed and removed so many stigmas that historically would be a driving force force in these tragedies.
It is no longer an issue if a young person is gay or bi, whether they are trans or fluid, young people accept mental health as just another part of self care. Young men talk to each other. Drinking is way down.
Now if we can just crack the housing situation and the threat of looming fascism we can get ahead of that tiny uptick…
Seen similar from older people here in France, claiming cancer rates have skyrocketed since the covid vaccines. No, mon ami, it’s because you’re five years older, so more of your circle are getting ill. Because they’re five years older too.
I know of 2 suïcides of kids (late teens, early 20s,) in the last 3 weeks in Dublin
This work you’ve done is valuable, but tragically not to the people most in need of persuading. The science of ignorance (agnatology) has been hotly studied recently and its findings are very consistent.
For anyone wondering how these people can believe this when the information says the opposite, you’re working from the „deficit model“ of public information, where the reason these people make decisions that you don’t make is simply because they lack the information you have access to.
That was the predominant theory for hundreds of years of public policy practice, but it’s wrong. Humans make decisions for emotional and narrative reasons, never logical ones. Even if you’re like me, and you *think* you base your decisions off of data and best practice, we do that because we have an emotive story we tell ourselves about how we are sensible, and clever, and listen to experts. It’s that emotional story of security and superiority that has us follow expert consensus and stastistics, not any actual love for the logic of it all.
People believe these conspiracy theories because the theory addresses some core need they have. I work with some conspiracy theory lads, they work in the warehouse of the pharma company I work for, and they’re a bit rough and tumble, but they’re not stupid. They may not have got on well in school, but they aren’t „thick“. But they do lap this stuff, because they’ve been told by academia and authority all their life that they are lesser, stupid, wrong, and so conspiracy theories give them a vivid feeling of being smarter than the people who they feel have put them down all their lives.
That’s why they believe aliens made the pyramids. Not because the argument was persuasive, but because of how good they feel when they believe it.
Perception bias is king. Social media is generally younger people with specific views. Generally we all register what bothers us and our brain just bins or files away what doesn’t match our interest. This sub is a great example of it. There are plenty of things that get posted regularly in here and taken as fact that are confused or outright incorrect but are the common perception.
But there is an uptick after Covid.?
They will still say this is fake or altered by the government in some way