I think 338 raises an important point that the Liberal surge in projected seats since the last election isn’t based as much on Liberal popularity as it is on growing disdain for Poilievre and his leadership of the CPC
The liberal vote share is less than 3% of 2025 election day, but the CPC are down nearly 7%
Oafah on
Same story as always. The Conservative floor is roughly 1/3 of the electorate. They win if they can attract enough suburban moderates away from the Liberals. They break up and form new parties when the leadership moves too far to the center. It’s a delicate balance for them, and the current numbers align precisely with what we’ve seen since the Paul Martin days.
gravtix on
Pierre’s fake populist act is beyond lame and tired now.
Pierre doing rallies and launching a crusade against taxes again.
The same tone deaf politics that cost him the election.
Kind_Disaster_4639 on
Are we becoming American? Is it really about Red or Blue or about how well the government is working. My vote is not tied to a party it’s tied to results in this global economic storm. Best man or women for the job.
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Note: despite the 338 Sunday Update being commonly posted on r/Canada – this week’s has been banned:
https://www.reddit.com/r/canada/s/rrkFJHwbVR
One pollster now clocking CPC under 30%:
LPC: 46% (+2)
CPC: 29% (-12)
NDP: 12% (+6)
BQ: 7% (+1)
GPC: 4% (+3)
PPC: 2% (+1)
EKOS / April 22, 2026 / n=1408 / MOE 2.6% / Online
(% Change w 2025 Federal Election)
I think 338 raises an important point that the Liberal surge in projected seats since the last election isn’t based as much on Liberal popularity as it is on growing disdain for Poilievre and his leadership of the CPC
The liberal vote share is less than 3% of 2025 election day, but the CPC are down nearly 7%
Same story as always. The Conservative floor is roughly 1/3 of the electorate. They win if they can attract enough suburban moderates away from the Liberals. They break up and form new parties when the leadership moves too far to the center. It’s a delicate balance for them, and the current numbers align precisely with what we’ve seen since the Paul Martin days.
Pierre’s fake populist act is beyond lame and tired now.
Pierre doing rallies and launching a crusade against taxes again.
The same tone deaf politics that cost him the election.
Are we becoming American? Is it really about Red or Blue or about how well the government is working. My vote is not tied to a party it’s tied to results in this global economic storm. Best man or women for the job.