Umfragen deuten darauf hin, dass Mark Carney wahrscheinlich seine Mehrheit behalten würde, wenn jetzt Wahlen stattfinden würden

Generally I’m not a big believer in polls outside of election time, this is probably true though unfortunately. Carney has captured a pretty good chunk of the conservative vote while somewhat unfathomably retaining most of whatever “progressive” vote is left in Canada. Still, things can change pretty quickly in politics (as PP learned last election), so you never know.