Politik

338 Sonntags-Update: Liberale behalten Mehrheit nach Nachwahlsieg

19.04.2026

EarthWarping on 19.04.2026 3:27 p.m.

The big takeaway from this is Poilievre and the CPC are not getting any momentum lately in the polls or in these by-elections.

Interesting that the article also says that CPC voters do show at the polls historically even in non CPC friendly ridings so that was a change.
Hot-Percentage4836 on 19.04.2026 5:21 p.m.

If we naively suppose we could transpose the by-election shifts on all Canada, the Liberals could reach 250 seats. They could even reach to 270 seats if they fare well in Québec and push the Bloc to 9-13 seats.

The Bloc did not do that bad last monday with 47% (+8%) of the vote in Terrebonne. So, the Bloc seems to at least hold its 2025 vote at the minimum, so the Bloc should be safe in the ridings it won with 46-49% last time, like *Abitibi-Témiscamingue, Beloeil-Chambly, Montcalm, Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel, Joliette-Manawan,* and *Lac-Saint-Jean*.