I really dislike everything and everybody in this conflict.
But the hypocrisy and general dumbness by Trump is really pathetic.
He was angry when Iran only let some ships pass and for good reason.
Then he did the same exact thing while claiming the Strait open.
And now Iran responds. Also with good reason and the Strait is not open again.
Trump could have ended this.
Now the entire world is paying for this nonsense again.
sentrypetal on
There is no leverage except the most extreme one. What is most shocking is that the oil market which is supposed to be rational has completely fallen for Trumps lies. To put it in perspective of how badly the oil futures market has screwed up. The 1970s oil shock was 1/2 the magnitude of this and the world economy saw interest rates exceed 19 percent as inflation surged. That was 150 days. This is twice the magnitude and is already lasted 50 days. If it lasts another 25 days we are back into the same oil shock the 1970s saw. Perhaps worse as a big chunk of our economies are tied to air travel and delivery services. Yet oil futures are trading at $80 barely above the normal range of $65-$75. What this means is that refinery margins are going to go deeply negative which will cause potential bankruptcies unless the taxpayer bails them out.
planj07 on
All Iran needs to do is fire some machine guns at a tanker and boom, shipping is paralyzed. If Iran wants to shut down the strait they can do it at will. And I guarantee they have spent the past month doing everything possible to ensure it stays that way.
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I really dislike everything and everybody in this conflict.
But the hypocrisy and general dumbness by Trump is really pathetic.
He was angry when Iran only let some ships pass and for good reason.
Then he did the same exact thing while claiming the Strait open.
And now Iran responds. Also with good reason and the Strait is not open again.
Trump could have ended this.
Now the entire world is paying for this nonsense again.
There is no leverage except the most extreme one. What is most shocking is that the oil market which is supposed to be rational has completely fallen for Trumps lies. To put it in perspective of how badly the oil futures market has screwed up. The 1970s oil shock was 1/2 the magnitude of this and the world economy saw interest rates exceed 19 percent as inflation surged. That was 150 days. This is twice the magnitude and is already lasted 50 days. If it lasts another 25 days we are back into the same oil shock the 1970s saw. Perhaps worse as a big chunk of our economies are tied to air travel and delivery services. Yet oil futures are trading at $80 barely above the normal range of $65-$75. What this means is that refinery margins are going to go deeply negative which will cause potential bankruptcies unless the taxpayer bails them out.
All Iran needs to do is fire some machine guns at a tanker and boom, shipping is paralyzed. If Iran wants to shut down the strait they can do it at will. And I guarantee they have spent the past month doing everything possible to ensure it stays that way.