Iran könnte den vietnamesischen Weg beschleunigen
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/04/iran-vietnam-war-invasion/686769/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo
Iran könnte den vietnamesischen Weg beschleunigen
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/04/iran-vietnam-war-invasion/686769/?utm_source=reddit&utm_campaign=the-atlantic&utm_medium=social&utm_content=edit-promo
3 Kommentare
Graeme Wood: “The prediction that Iran will be America’s next Vietnam—a moral catastrophe, an abyss into which money and lives have been pitched, with the sole effect of weakening the United States and heartening its enemies—is already in general circulation among Americans. A few days ago, the Iranian embassy in Hanoi joined the doomsaying. Its X account featured an AI-generated image of a mouth-breathing American GI being lectured to by a smiling Vietnamese soldier in Saigon on April 30, 1975. ‘We thought that after the Vietnam War, you would never invade any country again,’ the soldier says. ‘It seems that after 50 years you have forgotten that devastating defeat.’
“Fifty years before 1975 was 1925. Why not show present-day Vietnam? Probably because it would be a nightmarish scene, not for an American but for a Vietnamese Communist or, for that matter, for a present-day Iranian hard-liner. Modern Saigon (now Ho Chi Minh City) is the site of a total victory for market economics, global trade, and consumer culture. American products compete without stigma: You can get a Vietnamese-style coffee at Starbucks. In 2023, Vietnam entered into a comprehensive strategic partnership with the United States, an official diplomatic designation for the highest level of cooperation. Vietnam is not a democracy, and its government would happily forget Western notions of human rights and civil liberties. But it does not hate America—which is why, to invoke the Vietnam parallel, Iran has to pretend that the past 50 years went rather differently.
“At this point, Iran as America’s next Vietnam sounds less like a curse than like a relatively optimistic scenario for all involved.”
Read more: [https://theatln.tc/CbexTBAY](https://theatln.tc/CbexTBAY)
Vietnam warmed relations with the US because of China’s Hegemony more so than anything else. Ho Chi Minh even collaborated with the United States during World War 2 and spent a couple years in the United States. I don’t think the situations are parallel at all.
Most Vietnamese love Uncle Ho and see him as a national hero. Khamenei has 30% support at most. But yes on paper, invading Iran is pretty unfeasible based on size and terrain alone. Organized and armed opposition is quite hollow on the ground. We don’t have something like the ARVN military or Kurdish Peshmergas like we had in Iraq to provide the invasion with some sort of indigenous legitimacy to seal the power vacuums.
Except Irans current leaders are insanely ideological and want to influence abroad.
I don’t think vietnam had the same not even by a long shot