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    BC-Politik: NDP liegt knapp in Führung, da Sorgen um Wohnungsbau, Gesundheitsversorgung und Defizit weiterhin Druck auf die Regierung ausüben, Leger-Umfrage

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    1. janisjoplinenjoyer on

      Pretty meh numbers at best for the NDP with trouble spots below the surface. In other words, about the same thing polls have been showing since the last election. There will certainly be some in Victoria who take this as encouraging compared to the Innovative poll last month (which now looks like an outlier) that had the Conservatives ahead by 8, but that would be the wrong response IMO.

      What I find hopeful from my lefty POV is two things.

      a) It does look, as I’ve been suspecting, like Eby is the source of the problems more than the party itself and its brand, so a change of leader could improve things. I am once again calling to draft Bowinn Ma.

      b) The Greens and NDP together continue to command a clear majority of the vote — 54%, which is comparable to the UCP’s total in the Alberta poll just posted (actually a point higher). This has been the case in the 2017, 2020 and 2024 elections, and is beginning to look like it may be a structural shift in BC politics. For reference, when the BC Liberals were winning elections, the Greens and NDP together were garnering pluralities or very slim majorities of the vote.

    2. Asluckwouldnthaveit on

      It’s not so much I’m happy with the NDP here in BC. It’s more that I feel the Conservatives would be an absolute disaster.

    3. Gbeto on

      BC polls have been insanely static since BC United folded their campaign in September 2024. It’s been a slight BC NDP edge forever, with mostly noise around an average of like NDP +2.

      The Leger poll after the United collapse in Sept 2024 was 44/42/11. The election was 45/43/8. And here we are, still, at 44/40/10.

      IMO, BCers are fairly partisan at this point in provincial politics. Many BCers simply will not vote Conservative, and many will never vote NDP.

    4. topspinvan on

      I definitely wasn’t buying anyone saying that a BC Conservative win next time was inevitable. We’re in so-so economic times and the amount of fear-mongering and misunderstanding about DRIPA is causing the government to wobble rather than lead. 

      Eby has done an excellent job on housing and healthcare. Real reforms that are making a difference now, but lately the government has lost a bit of its purpose and seems to be lacking a message of what they want to accomplish other than just keeping the Conservatives out. A fresh voice may help, I don’t know. At the very least, they need to rediscover some ambition and goals.

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