Die südamerikanischen Länder werden in den nächsten 20 Jahren ihren Bevölkerungshöchststand erreichen und dann einen Rückgang einleiten

South America has witnessed one of the world’s fastest fertility drops in the world, with most countries now being near 1 fertility rate. 

These are fertility rates of most South American countries:

Brazil fertility rate: 1.869 in 2010, 1.50 in 2025

Argentina fertility rate: 2.47 in 2010, 1.23 in 2024

Uruguay fertility rate: 2.08 in 2010, 1.19 in 2024

Chile fertility rate: 1.97 in 2010, 1.03 in 2024

Paraguay: 2.41 in 2020 (latest data available), 1.95 in 2024
 
Bolivia: 3.05 in 2012, 2.06 in 2024

Peru: 2.50 in 2010, 1.67 in 2024

Ecuador: 2.74 in 2011, 1.7 in 2024

Colombia: 1.78 in 2010, 1.05 in 2025

Venuzvela: 2.4 in 2010, 2.06 in 2025

The source for the map is United Nations projections, and the un is known to overestimate fertility and populations, so this map is possibly the best case scenario for South America. All the fertility rates of the countries I gave are from the country itself, which are way more reliable than the un projections for that countries births and fertility rate.

For example in 2022, Colombias official stats said that the fertility rate was 1.37 with 573k births. The un in 2022 said that Colombia had a fertility rate of 1.69 with 723k births.

The un projections also don’t count immigration (outside of latin Latin America) since south America has very few immigrants, and the ones it does are from inside south America, like venuzuelans in Chile. 

South America could have a higher population then expected or maybe even increase, if it will choose and start to take in many immigrants from Asia and Africa.

And that’s ok

The only sad part is that retirement will be a thing of the past.

We will probably enter an era of public-private pensions with draconian measures to prevent retirement, not to mention the likely automatic increase in retirement age, if life expectancy is x, the retirement age now is 78 years old, and so on.

# and then begin a decline?

Its ridiculous how the Brazilian government saw that and decided just a year or two ago that „hm, actually we should make tube tying available at an even younger age and with no requirement of having children, yeah thats a good idea“.

Guys, if you already are having problems with a looming demographic fall, you dont speed that up, especially when Social Security is a political and economical bomb that no politician wants to touch!

They got old before they got rich