Künstliche Intelligenz hat den Arbeitsmarkt nicht verändert, sagen Ökonomen, aber sie sind zunehmend davon überzeugt, dass dies der Fall sein wird – und dass die politischen Entscheidungsträger unvorbereitet sind
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/04/03/business/economists-once-dismissed-the-ai-job-threat-but-not-anymore.html?unlocked_article_code=1.YFA.1-TQ.vIZkNt2rbdVK&smid=url-share
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From the article
Rising unemployment among young college graduates? The result of high interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty. Dire predictions of widespread job losses? A failure to understand the lessons of past technological revolutions. Even the layoffs that companies themselves blamed on artificial intelligence were often chalked up to “A.I.-washing” from executives looking for something to blame other than their own mismanagement.
Recently, however, the message from economists has undergone a subtle change. Most still do not see much evidence that A.I. is disrupting the job market. But they are starting to take seriously the possibility that it could someday soon. If it does, they are worried that policymakers are not ready to respond.
“I don’t think A.I. has hit the labor market yet, and I don’t think it’s radically changed corporate productivity yet, either, but I think it’s coming,” said Daniel Rock, a University of Pennsylvania economist who has studied the economic impact of artificial intelligence.
The only way an economist could have overlooked this glaring fact is if they were incentivized to do so.
It was obvious from the start, rich people and coincidentally right leaning governments, claim the rich build jobs and employ people helping the economy, but if you show a rich person a robot that will allow them to reduce their workforce, a self service till that will replace shop assistants, an IVR system or predictive dialler that will allow them to reduce the number of call centre agents they employ, they’ll almost always replace their workforce. Now rich people are funding the development of AI agents, vision and robot control systems to replace workers in many industries, yet some people believed the rich when they said this wont lead to job losses.
A little naive I think.
It’s not a job threat (to most jobs).
CEOs are.
I await more AI-hyper downvotes.