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  1. giantroboticcat on

    Just a matter of time before we take the covid approach. Lets just stop tracking GDP then we’ll never know if it’s fallen.

  2. What’s the best case scenario estimate for the Hormuz strait supply and price effects? 3 months, 4months? Add another „2 to 3 weeks“ Trump meme time to that, at least, with no solution in sight.

  3. IllustriousRange226 on

    India said what Iran is doing to the Strait will have Covid-level effects on the economy.  We are not ready.

  4. lattice_defect on

    crash it and those that have cash will buy everything… this is by design. The US quietly said they were insolvent like 2 weeks ago.

  5. Choice-of-SteinsGate on

    Reminder that amidst all the chaos of this war, the US Treasury has just declared the country INSOLVENT, with no acknowledgment from the White House.

    The economy is a mess, Trump’s policies were exploding the debt and deficit *before* the war even started.

    Trump could have sat on his tiny bruised hands this past year—done *nothing*—and the US economy would be stronger and more stable for it.

    And while the White House is bragging about the most recent mediocre jobs report, keep in mind that nearly every embellished report in the past was followed by a downward revision later. But all that matters is the opportunity to sell a narrative *now.*

    Last year’s jobs figures were ABYSMAL after revisions, and of course not a peep from the administration.

    In fact, under Biden we saw four straight years of job growth, but in just one year under Trump, we’ve seen 5 total months of job losses.

    Last year’s fourth quarter GDP report was also recently revised downward. Core inflation was also adjusted to reflect rising costs, and the most up to date GDP figures show signs of a sinking economy and perhaps a recession

    Worse yet, the inflation rate is expected to exceed 4% in the coming months.

    And now Trump is seeking a 40% *increase* in military spending. That’s $1.5 TRILLION to be exact.

    This puts military spending at its highest level in recorded history.

    And where’s it coming from? That’s right, domestic programs.

    Including key federal health, housing and education programs serving the poor and cuts to programs meant to respond to natural disasters, train new teachers, root out tax fraud and research cures for diseases.

    Income inequality has also just reached a 60-year peak, and reports show that Trump’s policies have allowed the top 1% of stockholders and investors to own more wealth and assets than the bottom 99%.

    The Trump administration continues to ignore the effects of persistent inflation, cost of living issues, and systemic economic inequality.

    Trump is ushering in the greatest redistribution of wealth in a generation.

    The value of the US dollar has also weakened against other currencies, goods and services.

    Trump is not „solving the housing crisis,“ but making housing less affordable for first time buyers, renters and families entering the market in favor of serving the interests of the richest homeowners and investors.

    Mortgage rates are climbing back up in response to the war in Iran and interest rates are expected to follow.

    On that note, before the war, the White House was bragging about meager mortgage rate reductions, but Trump’s only contribution to this was creating massive economic uncertainty; forcing investors to shop for safety over risk in this economy.

    In the meantime, the war is costing the US taxpayer billions every day it drags on and the Trump administration is demanding another $200 billion from the government to continue fueling operation „epic failure.“

    For perspective, the US sent a total of $180 billion in foreign aid to Ukraine while Biden was in office.

    Trump’s actions in the middle east have caused global trade disruptions, market shocks, and sharply rising oil prices, and due in large part to the administration’s poor planning, arrogance and incompetence. This is conceding the point that this war was always one of choice, not of necessity.

    Trump dismissed warnings before the war about Strait of Hormuz closures. Every person close to Trump alerted him to the strong likelihood that Iran would impose these countermeasures in the Persian gulf. And now the entire world is dealing with the blowback of Trump’s choices.

    As far as his tariffs go, even prior to the latest SCOTUS ruling, Trump faced pressure to reverse many of his tariff policies because they were raising costs, hurting domestic industries, taxing Americans, causing trade wars, etc..

    Worse yet, the data reveal that Americans are footing over 90% of the tariff bill. Shocker!

    Polls show that a majority of Americans disapprove of Trump’s handling of the economy because he has done nothing to address the immediate issues that most Americans care about.

    Instead, he is fixated on foreign wars, on punishing his political opponents, on pageantry and self-enrichment while him and his family monetize his presidency to the tune of BILLIONS.

    His kleptocratic policies are literally stealing from the poor to give to the rich.

    Trump’s big ugly Bill extends tax breaks and incentives for the rich and corporations while not remotely offsetting the costs by stripping millions of Americans of their access to healthcare, food assistance, and financial opportunities.

    He’s building grotesque monuments to himself while Americans struggle financially.

    Trump’s policies are ballooning the debt and deficit and his tariffs are a regressive tax on small businesses, low income and working class Americans.

    The government is obfuscating economic data, lying to investors, firing labor directors who don’t toe the line, and straining our trade relationships with other countries.

    The Trump administration is plagued by rampant cronyism, corruption and favoritism in hiring; appointing billionaires, corporate interests, technocrats and rich MAGA donors into high ranking positions of power. This is the wealthiest administration in US history.

    Trump’s legislation invests heavily in national security on top of providing extensive tax cuts for corporations and rich people.

    Costs that are NOT being offset by cutting funding for healthcare, food assistance and scientific research; dismantling our education system, community support structures and social safety nets; cancelling public health and environmental initiatives, and defunding the agencies responsible for protecting consumers and regulating predatory financial institutions.

    And instead of redirecting these cost cutting „savings“ towards fixing the national debt and deficit, the government is redistributing these funds to the top 1%.

    In other words, Trump is creating a kleptocracy by concentrating economic power and resources into the hands of a select few while the rest suffer under the economic tyranny of his administration.

  6. Mission_Gap_9035 on

    Trump has a long history of making things up, that leads to six bankruptcies, what he’s doing to this country will be worse.

  7. Wait. You’re telling me the felon, rapist, pedophile that has ran multiple businesses into the ground lied about something? What!?

  8. The real kicker is that they are gutting bodies specifically built to prevent a repeat of the Great Recession. We are actively deleting the hard-learned lessons of 2008 just to save a few billionaires some paperwork and oversight.
    the rich will always pay to have the warning lights turned off while they secure the exits. we get to sit in the dark and pretend everything is fine until the bank accounts hit zero.

  9. TheGOPisTheDeepState on

    Trumpcession 2.0, the Republican Party is ALWAYS terrible for economy and have zero business being in charge.

  10. Differentdog on

    The signals are already here. Food banks are EMPTY.

    We just attended a donation event tonight. It was nice socializing while contributing to a worthy cause.

    The information casually, yet pertinently shared at such an event is genuinely abhorrent and dismaying.

    This administration is the death of us if we don’t UNITE as the States of America we actually are.

  11. somewherein72 on

    I think it’s right there in your job description that you’re to steward the economy. That doesn’t mean to steward it into an iceberg. Why are you not removed from office today?

  12. WillfulIgnorance8647 on

    Turns out when you vote for a National Suicide Pact, you end up committing National Suicide.

  13. Bishopjones2112 on

    Any sustained oil price over 150$ a barrel will push the treasury bonds market about 6 and that will cause a domino effect in the faltering American economy, triggering a massive recession on par or greater than the Great Depression. All because the national debt which is growing dramatically will not be serviceable. The payments will not be able to overcome the interest. As this happens the trust in the American economy falls and less countries will support by buying treasury bonds and investing in larger capital investments. I’m sorry for the world because this will impact a lot of countries but the states has let this happen.

  14. Don’t need no government to warn us of an economic crash ‚cause we’re going „**Ninety Miles an Hour (Down a Dead End Street)**“.

  15. Unknown_Cloud_777 on

    This dumb mother fucker is destroying our economy .. 

    Why the heck isn’t congress impeaching this stupid shit for brains president.

    Smh  🤦🤦🏽 🤦🏻‍♀️  🤦‍♂️ 🤦🏽‍♀️🤦🏻‍♂️

  16. TiredOfBeingTired28 on

    „if we stop testing, it will just go away“

    ‚And I look better not that I can lose my followers.“

  17. pinetreesgreen on

    Anyone actually believe the employment numbers from today?

    There’s going to have to be a deep purge of every single department in the federal government when this is over.

  18. He is plundering this nation and doesn’t give a fuck about American citizens

  19. Pale-Acanthaceae-736 on

    I’m not sure I’m liking this timeline. Can someone point me to the nearest portal?

  20. I knew it’d be bad if he was reelected but even I underestimated this administrations awfulness. And lawlessness.

  21. LowellForCongress on

    His goal is to get it stay ‘okay’ until after the house election so he can blame the dems for the problems.

  22. I just wish some billionaire Dem was building a mirror government with all the skilled people who have been fired by this administration who were watching all of this carefully and waiting for the right moment to take he reins. Really. I know it’s absurd. It makes me less sad.

  23. RadicalOrganizer on

    Well, duh. We knew he would. He tries to silence everything he can, especially experts, reports, children, victims, other countries, etc

  24. Here are a few things that stand out to me:

    Inflation is 8.5% annualized and going up without breaks, for reference peak covid was 17%, the Fed SHOULD raise rates from 3.5% to 4.5% into the end of the year to address this but there’s a 75% chance they will keep rates at 3.5% for the rest of the year. I’m not going to go into the rational behind this here. Inflation is on track to reach peak covid levels later this year, and if nothing’s done, which looks that way atm, it’ll keep going up beyond that. The inflation rate for jan2026 was 6%, feb2026 was 8.5% (likely before iran shock), i project the march ppi to be 13%+

    The march jobs report was positive, but trust has eroded, the first thing i asked was if the number can be trusted, even if the number is legit it no longer matters imho, we’ll see how the markets behaves later this week after the initial kneejerk reaction.
    WTI and brent are both sitting at 110+, while WTI sitting above brent is good for the US as a whole, gas will be 6dollars and it will eventually drag down the economy (i don’t think oil is going to hit 200usd, as the economy will go down before it)

    Blackrock just halted withdrawals on one of its private equity funds in early march, this reminds me of the first shoe to drop in 2007 with Bear Sterns.

    I know this has been said before: Consumers have been carrying the economy as they keep spending, but for how long.

  25. despenser412 on

    Did MAGA get their golden Trump phones yet? Please tell me they at least got those!!

  26. Chemical-Fault-7331 on

    The Finn thing about the economy is you can’t fake reality. When jobs crater, when gas gets to be 6-8 a gallon, when people fall behind on rent and mortgages and they start getting evicted, the gig is up at that point. You can’t lie your way out of a recession / depression. By Q3, I suspect the economy to be in the shitter. Mass unemployment, small businesses will have closed en masse, but hey, at least we kept out those immigrants and punished the trans athletes.

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