Irans langes Spiel: Jahrzehntelange Vorbereitung zahlt sich aus
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-long-game
Irans langes Spiel: Jahrzehntelange Vorbereitung zahlt sich aus
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/irans-long-game
6 Kommentare
[Excerpt from essay by Narges Bajoghli, anthropologist and Associate Professor of Middle East Studies at the Johns Hopkins University School of Advanced International Studies.]
The question that will matter when the fighting ends is whether Tehran is achieving its strategic objectives. And on that count, Iran is winning.
This outcome is not accidental. Tehran has been preparing for this war for nearly four decades, since the new revolutionary government faced its first major military test in the Iran-Iraq War, which lasted from 1980 to 1988. And it is now executing a strategy that has managed to neutralize key U.S. and Israeli air defense batteries, severely damage U.S. military bases in the Persian Gulf, inflict substantial economic pain, and drive a wedge between the United States and its Gulf allies. The Iranian regime, in other words, is not just surviving the U.S. and Israeli bombardment. The serious economic and political problems it is creating for its adversaries are, on a strategic level, giving Iran the upper hand.
Every time an authoritarian regime like Iran suffers a humiliating defeat its propagandists jump up to explain this was all a part of a secret plan.
“Iran built its navy to trick the US into destroying it. Same with all the military infrastructure. Those 50+ top leaders the US took out? Decoy leaders, all the genius leaders will take over now.”
You can make a case that this war won’t end well for the US/Israel – there are often no winners in war. But you can’t make a serious case that this is going well for Iran.
This is straight up delusional.
Ah. Narges Bajoghli is Iranian. Literal propaganda.
> In Iran, the war with Iraq is not remembered as a bilateral conflict. Tehran saw it, with good reason, as a proxy war: a campaign in which the United States, the Soviet Union, and much of the Arab world backed Saddam Hussein’s Iraq with weapons, intelligence, and diplomatic cover, while Iran, fresh off its 1979 revolution, battled largely alone.
I seem to remember some country secretly supplying Iran with weapons during that war, a country highly relevant for the present conflict. Can anyone help me recall who it was? /S
Iran’s victimhood complex is absolutely hilarious. Or it least it would have been if they hadn’t taken the entire world hostage.
weird saying „paying off“ while their entire proxies network on which they invested billions of dollars and years of efforts are in their weakest shape ever and while their navy/air force/defence systems l/top leaders are not existing.
You can say that they’re an totalitarian regimen which successfully causing problems because this is what they do best, but seriously , saying „paying off“ while decades of efforts are being erased is just delusional.
It’s stupid if they waited this long . They basically have no choice because the Us/ Israel have killed so many of their leaders and destroyed so much of their military.
It’s not a master plan but rather a realization negotiating is useless so they might as well fight to the end.