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    Exklusive Schockumfrage sagt voraus, dass Labour bei den Kommunalwahlen in Birmingham ein Scheitern erleiden wird


    Exklusive Schockumfrage sagt voraus, dass Labour bei den Kommunalwahlen in Birmingham ein Scheitern erleiden wird

    https://www.birminghammail.co.uk/news/midlands-news/exclusive-shock-poll-predicts-local-33565940.amp

    Von JackStrawWitchita

    View 20 Comments

    20 Kommentare

    1. NotEntirelyShure on

      Not a shock.

      Birmingham has a large Muslim population and labour were seen as too friendly to Israel over the Gaza war.

      I’ve been expecting labour to be wiped out in Birmingham

    2. Jaded_Strain_3753 on

      It’s hardly a “shock poll” lol, anyone paying attention could predict that

    4. brothervalerie on

      People are pointing out the Muslim vote but there’s a dynamic here not much discussed. Muslims skew younger than the national average (average age of a Muslim is 27 versus 41 nationally).

      Actually what you see on the Left is older people, Muslim or otherwise, sticking with Labour whereas younger people of all communities moving to the Greens. So Muslims are more Green than the national average because of the youth factor.

      Interestingly this is not the case to the Right of politics. Older voters have largely embraced Reform and make up the backbone of their support, far from this claim we often hear that young men are being radicalised.

    5. BusyBeeBridgette on

      All a party has to do is promise to clean up the bins and pay what is due. Pretty much guarantees a victory.

    6. JosephStalinho on

      Who’s shocked? They barely won last time, and the Muslim vote has left them, as have the working class whites 

    7. Reverend_Vader on

      If I lived in one of the most bankrupt councils area

      I’d be voting for labour

      Why? if I’m labour running the country and I have a bankrupt council with no labour politicians in there, only opposing parties

      I’d say fuck em and let them rot in their own rubbish

      They would drop to the bottom of the priority list

    8. Cynical_Classicist on

      But we were being so friendly to Trump and working on winning over Reform voters!

    9. FuzzBuket on

      Who knew that taking your base for granted and slavishly chasing votes from people who hate you isn’t sound strategy and just leaves your base very much up for grabs by parties with policy that they actually like

    10. Wise-Reflection-7400 on

      The obviously deserve to, but the council that takes control afterwards is going to be extremely dysfunctional. Eventually Birmingham will probably be controlled by pro-Gaza independents (aka Yakoob and his followers). Won’t be this time but the demographic change essentially makes it inevitable.

    11. aleopardstail on

      one wonders how long the bollard in human form will be „leader“ after the local election results are in

    12. kahnindustries on

      Wait till you see the absolute destruction of the Labour Party in May

      Wales, Scotland and local elections

      They are going to finish 3rd or 4th in all of them

      Labour has never lost in Wales

      They will be 4th this time

    13. plawwell on

      Remember that your voting choice has consequences. I hope you can live with that and not cry afterwards.

    14. MrMakarov on

      Interestingly the rise of the green party will probably help identify Muslim voting areas

    15. NotEntirelyShure on

      lol sorry Reform.

      To be fair they’ve change their name so many times.

    16. Fast_Apple_2237 on

      An AI prediction model that’s 90% accurate, and can increase sales by 60%, and no prior polling experience. Birmingham is going to be very bad for labour but I’d take the exact details with a big pinch of salt.

    17. IsyABM on

      Absolutely deserved.

      They treat us like fools- promising to fix issues after the election that they are responsible for. When you reach out to labour councillors, they’re dismissive and can be sarcastic.
      And they have totally departed from their values. Their antics with the unions here have been shameful.

    18. SnooMacarons4225 on

      Well deserved after bankrupting themselves, not sorting out the bin strikes on top of everything else

    19. SeriesDowntown5947 on

      Sectarian politics is here indeed no doubt. Dosnt look good for the future. Said to say

    20. Impressive-Bird-6085 on

      This doesn’t shock me at all.

      Why would it be a shock that a poll predicts a local election wipe-out in Birmingham for Labour? Opinion polls for the U.K. as a whole indicate a collapse in the Labour vote share now when compared to the low 33% national vote share the party secured in the 2024 General Election.

      Given the Labour government has all to often abandoned so many Labour values and policies, why should it be any surprise that it’s vote share collapses, and risks a wipeout in a normally very Labour city such as Birmingham??

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