Nordeuropa könnte eine neue Eiszeit erleben, wenn die Atlantische Meridionale Umwälzzirkulation (AMOC) zusammenbricht

Will I get better ski conditions in Scotland

Thats the premise of movie, The Day After Tomorrow, no? When that movie came out, i was dating an ecology academician girl. When she said, that threshold has already been passed, i was really terrified.

Yeah, this is why „Global Warming“ is not an official term for Climate Change, it’s a little misleading & prone to abuse by climate change deniers. Just because the average global temperature is increasing, doesn’t mean literally every part of the globe is getting hotter – the vast majority of it is, but this is likely to become the one major exception in the coming decades.

Western & Northern Europe currently have a much, *much* milder climate than the vast majority of the rest of the world, especially other regions at the same latitudes. Scandinavia is at a similar latitude to Greenland, Nunavut & Alaska but has warm summers & largely moderate winters outside of the far North & high altitudes, while the UK, Ireland & the Netherlands have extremely mild climates year-round, having very mild winters with little snowfall & usually warm summers, despite being at a similar latitude to central Canada.

My home town is at about the same latitude as Edmonton, Alberta, but currently it’s a coin flip whether or not we’ll get snowfall that actually sticks in any given *year*, with more than an inch of snow being uncommon & significant, disruptive snowfall being rare enough that it’s only happened a handful of times in my 28 year lifetime. Genuinely hot summer heatwaves were also quite rare, but have been becoming much more frequent in the last decade, which is a big problem here because almost nowhere has air conditioning & our infrastructure is not at all built to deal with genuinely hot weather, so even a heatwave that only hits low-30s Celsius often leads to some deaths.

As the AMOC (and specifically the Gulf Stream, which is the warm North Atlantic current of the AMOC) continues to weaken as climate change worsens, summers here will continue to get hotter but winters are likely to get a hell of a lot colder, and if the AMOC collapses entirely (which, at current projections, might happen in the 2050s if not sooner) then the mild climate bubble that’s allowed much of Europe to flourish as it has could disappear quickly & violently, suddenly leading to massive seasonal extremes that our infrastructure just isn’t prepared for in the slightest, which could lead to significant loss of life in itself, but might also completely throw off our agriculture sectors leading to famine & even more loss of life. Summer heatwaves will continue to get hotter & more frequent, and the massive wildfires we’ve seen in recent years will only get worse; meanwhile winters will likely shift to be more in line with places at similar latitudes like central Canada, Alaska & Siberia, as coastal regions like the UK, Ireland, Benelux & parts of France will likely see average winter temperatures up to 10-15 °C colder, with areas further from the Atlantic like Poland, Czechia & Eastern Germany potentially seeing average winter temperatures drop by as much as 20-30 °C.

A lot of Europeans just don’t realise how utterly screwed we’ll truly be when this happens, and at this point it’s almost inevitable unless there’s a genuine, urgent & impactful worldwide push to not only mitigate climate change, but actually reverse it, which would require widespread regulation on industry in basically all developed & high-population countries, sanctions on fossil fuel corporations to force a rapid transition to renewables worldwide, and actual research & investment into developing better & more efficient methods for carbon capture & storage, something that seems almost impossible with people like the Orange Man in charge of the largest economies on Earth.

Its may slow very much down – but new ice will create additional flow again 🤷🏻‍♂️ a constant slower flow and not “collapse” is probably worst case?

would not mind colder climate in Norway, i live half the year in the tropical archipelago of the Philippines during the winter wich means best of both worlds if you ask me. i do construction during summer and summer has become hot and dry last 15 years atleast as i can remember compared to the 90’s and mid 2000’s.

RemindMe! 5y

!remindme 5 years