Avi Lewis behält drei Wochen vor Schluss die Dominanz im Fundraising
https://www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-maintains-fundraising-dominance
Avi Lewis behält drei Wochen vor Schluss die Dominanz im Fundraising
https://www.thewrit.ca/p/avi-lewis-maintains-fundraising-dominance
8 Kommentare
It sure seems like he’s going to win, for better or worse. Maybe he proves me wrong, but I imagine he will absolutely crater the party.
Rosemont-La Petite Patrie will become an LPC stronghold as soon as Boulerice steps down.
Edmonton-Strathcona is ostensibly a safe seat for the NDP but even they probably won’t stomach how hostile Lewis is to Alberta’s economy. A lot of that NDP vote will probably move over and vote Liberal. Especially if McPherson crosses the floor or goes ANDP.
This is going to be Jagmeet but worse if you ask me. No seat and no obvious place to run in one. The NDP is setting themselves up to be completely marginalized from the mainstream of Canadian politics at best, and a intraparty civil war at worst. The Alberta and BC NDP’s will throw Lewis under the bus so fast and treat the federal wing as radioactive amateurs.
I think the NDP membership, bless their hearts, are setting themselves up to experience utter heartbreak.
The number of Liberals annoyed by Lewis is a very good sign. Really important for a viable political movement to have a leader who doesn’t sound like he belongs in a different political party.
Yup he’s going to win. I think he’ll do well in Quebec because of his environmentalism and he speaks the best French out of all of the candidates
I understand the logic of using fundraising numbers as a proxy for who is likely to win. But I think it also just as important is how many new members each candidate signed up.
The party had ~60k last September. It appears it has ~100k now. That means that all candidates combined singed up ~40k new members. That is not a good sign for Avi Lewis. It means he didn’t signed enough members to overwhelm everyone else unless he does really well with existing membership pre-leadership contest.
Singh raised less money in 2017 than Avi Lewis in current leadership contest. But Singh singed up 47k new members to party that had only 45k members.
The new membership numbers are also terrible news for the party in general. In 2017 all leadership candidates signed 83k new members. In this cycle they appear to have signed up less than half that new number from 2017. After the end of the 2017 leadership election the party had 124 k members.
I think this means that there not much enthusiasm for party and it will struggle for a while regardless of who wins.
Not surprised. He’s by far the most inspiring and ambitious candidate. He’s scaring a lot of the orange wave progressives out of the party too, which I don’t hate if it means building the party up as a left wing border guard for the Overton window. Avi being upfront about wanting to demand electoral reform in a balance of power situation is exactly the focus the party needs.
Well NDP voters certainly seem excited for him.
Too bad they’re going to need much more than that to get even a third more of the seats that they have now. The electorate has made it abundantly clear that they’re not going for this social justice swing. Young people are unemployed/underemployed. Tap into that. Stop advocating for mass immigration like the LPC and PP
I don’t want my NDP leader to sound like a slightly more progressive Trudeau. I want them to be ideologically left wing.
Keynesian social democracy should be the centre-right wing of the party, not the centre.
Man, we love our political dynasties in Canada don’t we? Avi Lewis, son of Stephen Lewis (Ontario NDP leader), grandson of David Lewis (Federal NDP leader).
Kind of ironic for a worker’s party, but hey, the same thing got the Liberals elected.