Bundespolitik: Liberale erreichen 49 % Unterstützung, offener 14-Punkte-Vorsprung vor Konservativen
Federal Politics: Liberals Reach 49% Support, Open 14-Point Lead Over Conservatives
Bundespolitik: Liberale erreichen 49 % Unterstützung, offener 14-Punkte-Vorsprung vor Konservativen
Federal Politics: Liberals Reach 49% Support, Open 14-Point Lead Over Conservatives
5 Kommentare
PP lost a race that was suppose to be an easy win, lost his seat and then had to re-run in a ultra safe riding so he won’t lose his free (paid for by the government/people of Canada) housing.
Then to make matters worse, they keep him on as party leader cause essentially they have no one.
Carney is what Canada needs. A right leaning Liberal. Or a Liberal with a small l. Either or does it.
The polls may agree on the direction of the two big parties. But they are relatively far apart on where the NDP is polling. Since the start of this year I have seen polls showing NDP support as low as 4% and high as 12%. They have a shot at getting back official party status of polling in double digits. Or they may go down to two or three seats if they poll below 5%.
It looks like people who were typically CPC-LPC swing voters who were initially skeptical of Carney or still associated the party as a whole with Trudeau are now largely won over, but the NDPers and BQuists who came over haven’t gone back. It’s not obvious that both advantages can be sustained, but if nothing else, if gives the Liberals a lot of „Go Ahead, Force an Election“ room to govern.
Nobody wants Pierre Poilievre. Not today, not tomorrow, not ever. He will never be Prime Minister. The conservatives don’t have a hope in hell of winning the next election, and maybe even the one after that. I think so long as Carney is in office he has the run of the place as long as he wants barring some major scandal happening.
The Liberals have benefited from a combination of mostly good policy & rhetorical pivots, dealing with Trump and quickly taking advantage from the CPC’s dysfunction and baggage on social & climate issues etc. The Liberals seem to have consolidated the majority of the traditional pre-1993 Liberal/Progressive Conservative voting bloc (of which there’s a decently amount of overlap) which is generally the largest combined voting bloc in the country.
By contrast, for everything that the Liberals has been doing right, Poilievre and the CPC have been making blunder after blunder. the PC/Reform split within the part has worsened, the party has no clear consensus on how to deal with Trump to the point that Poilievre barely mentions him or how to deal with him and having the Liberals return to their historically normal (non-Pierre/Justin Trudeau) positions puts the CPC in an additional bind where their Reform/Alliance baggage on climate & social issues are front and centrer again, which generally hurts them with swing voters etc.