Vier Tage später Krieg mit dem IranLaut zwei Quellen gegenüber CNN gehen mindestens einem der Golf-Verbündeten der Vereinigten Staaten bereits die lebenswichtigen Abfangmunitionen zur Verteidigung gegen iranische Raketen- und Drohnenangriffe aus.
Dies spiegelt die Besorgnis in der gesamten Region, auch in Israel, über den Waffenbestand wider, der zur Abwehr iranischer Angriffe benötigt wird, insbesondere da Präsident Donald Trump einen verlängerten Zeitplan für den Wahlkampf angekündigt hat.
Jetzt, wo sich der Krieg ausweitet, ist es ein Zahlenspiel: Wie viele Abfangjäger werden die USA und ihre regionalen Verbündeten benötigen, um kontinuierlich iranische Raketen abzuschießen, und wie viele dieser Waffen müssen, wenn überhaupt, aus anderen Lagerbeständen für US-Streitkräfte im Pazifik umgeleitet werden? US-Rivalen wie China werden genau beobachten.
Die unmittelbare Sorge gilt dem Bestand an Verteidigungswaffen, der sich im Besitz der Golf-Verbündeten befindet, nicht der USA. In den Anfängen des Krieges haben Golfstaaten wie Bahrain, Katar, die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate und Saudi-Arabien im Allgemeinen versucht, jede Rakete oder Drohne aus dem Iran abzuschießen. Laut Becca Wasser, Verteidigungsleiterin bei Bloomberg Economics, könnte die Munitionskrise die Golfstaaten zu einer Änderung ihrer Taktik zwingen. Sie meinte, sie müssten möglicherweise „selektiver“ bei ihren Zielen vorgehen.
https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/04/politics/missiles-weapons-stockpile-iran-us-war
12 Kommentare
Submission statement:
This article raises the issue of the competing stockpiles of US interceptors and Iranian drones and missiles. While US stockpiles are not in immediate danger, they can be severely exhausted in the case of a protracted war, which is what we’re looking at happening based on Trump’s latest rants. The bigger issue is not actually US stockpiles but the stockpiles of US allies in the region, they may soon be forced to be more selective with which attacks they try to stop and which ones they have to let through.
I have seen the comment made that Iran may be holding back ballistic missiles, while flooding regional neighbors with lower cost shahed drones. The flood will deplete interceptor munitions, and waves of ballistic missiles could then be used to inflict severe damage with impaired defence capabilities.
I am ignorant of how Iranian forces launch their munitions. Is it feasible for US and Israeli forces to diminish those launch capabilities significantly before allied defensive capabilities are substantially degraded?
Probably of greater concern is that a regime change is more remote by the day, if the war ends inconclusively, US will need to come back and „mow the lawn“ for the foreseeable future.
The only long term solution would be regime change in Israel and US, but we don’t have anyone strong enough to force t.
This article, like similar recent discussions on Reddit, only looks at half the equation. How many missiles does Iran have? How quickly is Iran expending those missiles? And how quickly is Iran losing missiles to US airstrikes?
These discussions implicitly assume Iran has an unlimited supply. Unlike Russia (wrt Ukraine ) Iranian missile launchers, storage facilities, production facilities, nor supply lines are safe from US strikes.
It is unlikely that Iran will sustain any significant ballistic missile production.
So the real question is: will interceptor stocks run out before Iran runs out of missiles?
Recently Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Dan Caine remarked strike operations are proceeding more inland, I assume in the mountainous regions. Perhaps this is in response.
Can someone educate me on how Iran can attack various perceived allies of the US without being an international pariah and not triggering any defensive pacts or severe retaliation?
I predict the carriers need to retreat by end of this week, to avoid their defenses getting saturated and running out of interceptors.
Prediction recorded here: [https://falsify.app/p/xDw4ogEWu9VTMdlXbfha](https://falsify.app/p/xDw4ogEWu9VTMdlXbfha)
And Iran’s missile stock is either static or growing? Doubtful.
General Caine said during today’s briefing that irans volume of fire for ballistic missiles is already down 86% since the start of war.
The layered effects of US and Israeli strikes:
Destruction of the missile launchers : missiles outnumber launchers. Iranian launchers are getting destroyed right after launch along with their crews, reducing availability and producing fear
Heavy bombers are destroying stored stockpiles and industrial infrastructure . The remaining missile stock is diminishing and the production capacity is paralyzed and degrading
Command and control degradation as layers of command are taken out and crews run out of preplanned actions
I think after this week the primary problem for the us will be shaheds rather than miissiles.
For the missiles the problem is the American and Israeli platforms overhead will see geolocate and track them immediately once they detect the heat signature of the launch , with a strike coming down in minutes. They have to launch when a tactical fighter or drone is not overhead, or they are dead . A tactical fighter at 50000 feet is silent and invisible from the ground. Without a functioning radar network the missile crews won’t know when it’s safe.
Speed up production of new ones, we have the war powers act use it to divert money and resources into weapons production facilities. Seriously if we have to go to war with China things will be significantly harder than Iran so use this crisis to stress test solution for how to deal with China shoild that day ever come.
Iran is being supplied by China. They have ammunition for days.