The latest Israeli and U.S. war on Iran began with airstrikes on the home and offices of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The premise seemed to be that Khamenei’s sudden elimination would pose a dire threat to the current ruling system. The goal would be to achieve what happened in Libya after Muammar al-Qaddafi or in Syria after Bashar al-Assad, where regimes collapsed as soon as their leaders were no longer in power. In those systems, the state’s future was tied to a single person.
But Iran’s history and approach to survival are different.
Few contemporary governments concentrate as much visible authority in a single office as Iran does in that of the supreme leader. Religious legitimacy, command of the armed forces, and ultimate political arbitration converge there. Yet visibility should not be confused with fragility.
The office rests atop a dense network of institutions designed not simply to serve the leader but to constrain him, monitor him, and, if necessary, outlast him. The Islamic Republic is not just a personal regime with religious language. It is a revolutionary system that has invested heavily in planning for leadership changes. When under pressure, its structure is designed to pull together rather than fall apart.
Written by Ali Hashem
aig818 on
Armchair comment, but I don’t think the plan is to topple via killing alone. I think the plan is to take out key components and figures to destabilize so the protestors/people can take it out. Something like that.
Edit: Sports terms. Think assist, not score.
Electronic_Main_2254 on
>The Islamic Republic is not just a personal regime with religious language. It is a revolutionary system that has invested heavily in planning for leadership changes. When under pressure, its structure is designed to pull together rather than fall apart
None of this relevant in the real world though, just a bunch of fancy words which won’t mean anything when the Iranians will really start the Domino affect and initiate the actual regimen change.
When this will happen, none of this „systems“ will work and everything will simply crumble.
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The latest Israeli and U.S. war on Iran began with airstrikes on the home and offices of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The premise seemed to be that Khamenei’s sudden elimination would pose a dire threat to the current ruling system. The goal would be to achieve what happened in Libya after Muammar al-Qaddafi or in Syria after Bashar al-Assad, where regimes collapsed as soon as their leaders were no longer in power. In those systems, the state’s future was tied to a single person.
But Iran’s history and approach to survival are different.
Few contemporary governments concentrate as much visible authority in a single office as Iran does in that of the supreme leader. Religious legitimacy, command of the armed forces, and ultimate political arbitration converge there. Yet visibility should not be confused with fragility.
The office rests atop a dense network of institutions designed not simply to serve the leader but to constrain him, monitor him, and, if necessary, outlast him. The Islamic Republic is not just a personal regime with religious language. It is a revolutionary system that has invested heavily in planning for leadership changes. When under pressure, its structure is designed to pull together rather than fall apart.
Written by Ali Hashem
Armchair comment, but I don’t think the plan is to topple via killing alone. I think the plan is to take out key components and figures to destabilize so the protestors/people can take it out. Something like that.
Edit: Sports terms. Think assist, not score.
>The Islamic Republic is not just a personal regime with religious language. It is a revolutionary system that has invested heavily in planning for leadership changes. When under pressure, its structure is designed to pull together rather than fall apart
None of this relevant in the real world though, just a bunch of fancy words which won’t mean anything when the Iranians will really start the Domino affect and initiate the actual regimen change.
When this will happen, none of this „systems“ will work and everything will simply crumble.