Submission Statement: In 2025 China significantly escalated its “grey zone” coercion across the Indo-Pacific. Taiwan was the primary target, but the campaign was region-wide and incremental. Despite repeated condemnations, transparency initiatives, and defensive measures by the U.S. and allies, deterrence in the grey zone is failing. Beijing’s cost-benefit calculus has not changed, so a more coordinated, proactive, and full-spectrum response is urgently needed.
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Submission Statement: In 2025 China significantly escalated its “grey zone” coercion across the Indo-Pacific. Taiwan was the primary target, but the campaign was region-wide and incremental. Despite repeated condemnations, transparency initiatives, and defensive measures by the U.S. and allies, deterrence in the grey zone is failing. Beijing’s cost-benefit calculus has not changed, so a more coordinated, proactive, and full-spectrum response is urgently needed.