Doug Ford sagt, er bleibt. Aber was passiert mit den PCs, wenn er geht?
https://www.qpbriefing.com/news/doug-ford-says-he-is-staying-but-what-happens-to-the-pcs-when-he-goes
Doug Ford sagt, er bleibt. Aber was passiert mit den PCs, wenn er geht?
https://www.qpbriefing.com/news/doug-ford-says-he-is-staying-but-what-happens-to-the-pcs-when-he-goes
5 Kommentare
So, first of all, no premier is ever going to say anything other than that they are running again. As soon as they say they are unsure or are going to resign, their leadership is over, and they can no longer get anything done, plus likely get pushed out. We all saw what happened to Ralph Klein – who was far more popular than Doug Ford – as soon as he tried to announce a 2+ year resignation plan, the party forced him out immediately. He is running again and that will be the answer until it isn’t the answer.
Second, I doubt he will really run again. By the next election, he will be 65 years old and in power for 11 years. There hasn’t really been an example of a premier going much past 10-11 years in power in Canada in the last 2 decades – they are way past their best before date by then. I also have strong doubts he’s going to want to or be able to serve a term that will take him to nearly 70 years old. He isn’t exactly the picture of fitness or health, and his brother and father both died young. I would give 80% odds against Ford remaining premier past the end of his current term – he’s either going to retire, go after PP’s job once he gets ousted or lose re-election.
Aa much as he is disliked Fords presence in Ontario has been a major roadblock for the CPCs current brand , its a curious question to wonder how the PCs would look right now with out ford .
Ford isn’t going anywhere. PCs are likely to win the next provincial election, although maybe not another majority.
If LPC gets their act together and gets NES as their leader I think they have a decent shot at rebuilding the party.
If his polling remains strong I could see him running again going for another majority and pulling the chute after a while year saying he will resign once they elect a new leader
Hard to not think it won’t result in a civil war, there’s a lot of crazies that have been shut out by Ford and his team, and they’re going to want to break down the gate. What Ford has done is quite impressive, the entire caucus is loyal to him after the last election, having purged probably a dozen MPPs since 2018 who were causing problems.
Depending on when the leadership race happens, the federal Conservatives might also want to install a loyalist in Ontario, through their sockpuppet „Project Ontario“. Imagine Jamil Jivani as leader? The party would collapse.
Perhaps this all comes to naught, and someone like Stephen Lecce wins the race, but no possible leader will be able to match Ford’s charisma and popularity in Toronto.