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    9 Kommentare

    1. Why is this available to the public? Does it lack information essential to security/ strategy?

    2. Robert_Grave on

      Russia doesn’t want to lose an ally, China doesn’t want to lose access to Iran’s oil, the Arabian nations while disliking Iran want it to remain as a counterweight to Israel, and all of them will be pressuring Iran to accept a deal rather than go to war. I doubt there’ll be a real war.

    3. graphical_molerat on

      As the war in Ukraine has shown us, this is not actually a very large amount of cruise missiles. I mean, of course, in terms of numbers and money invested (that particularly), it of course is. But in terms of what Russia uses during each „active“ night in Ukraine, this is what, material for half a week at best?

      And Iran is a very large country, with lots of assets (air defence and otherwise) in its armed forces. Dated assets of second and third rate: but there are only so many smart missiles to go around, even in this impressive armada. So in other words: could this armada seriously dent the Iranian armed forces? Of course. They could likely partly flatten them, with likely very little losses of their own.

      Would this achieve anything, though? Possibly, if destabilisation and regime change is their goal. A conventional victory over their armed forces will not be on the cards, though. Not even a complete degradation.

    4. It’s a nice build-up, for sure, but nowhere near enough to support a full-scale strike on Iran, imho. IIRC, we used 6 full carrier battle groups for the initial assault on Iraq in 2003.

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