**SS:** RFE/RL interviews Alex Vatanka (Middle East Institute) on Iran’s post-protest trajectory, arguing the regime has survived through force but is structurally weakening. He discusses why protests are becoming more radical, why US intervention is unlikely, how elite fractures could shape succession after Khamenei, and why Tehran may increasingly resort to quiet compromise abroad to preserve power.
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**SS:** RFE/RL interviews Alex Vatanka (Middle East Institute) on Iran’s post-protest trajectory, arguing the regime has survived through force but is structurally weakening. He discusses why protests are becoming more radical, why US intervention is unlikely, how elite fractures could shape succession after Khamenei, and why Tehran may increasingly resort to quiet compromise abroad to preserve power.