Long-term population forecast is as good as someone predicting the exact date of your death.
Leading-Alarm3955 on
Yikes for Great Britain. They are already one of the densest populated countries!
littypika on
It looks like for the most part, Europe’s going to enter a significant population decline in 2100, and even for the remaining population, they are rapidly aging.
Definitely a demographic crisis currently that is expected to be much worse by then.
Yavkov on
I think it might be more interesting to see the relative (%) population change. The coloring scheme makes it seem like some countries don’t have it bad when it’s actually just as bad as some others. Like Italy and Bulgaria for example: 23.8M is a bit less than 50% of Italy’s population, and 3.2M is just about 50% of Bulgaria’s population. But the color makes it seem that Bulgaria is in a much better position while it is in fact worse.
TheFinestPotatoes on
It is much worse than it looks
The working age population is going to fall in every single one of those countries
huojtkef on
You have to look at inmigration too. Spain has one of the lowest ferrtility rates in the world but the population is increasing 300k every year.
stmaryriver on
The future is AI and brownish people. The less-fertile countries have been the big consumers of the earth. These countries will be accepting more and more immigrants and African countries have lots of young people ready to work elsewhere. Japan now has many more Southeast Asian immigrants than even ten years ago.
Low inputs into pension plans with declining size of working cohorts is a big fear of less-fertile countries. There is already unemployment in some sectors. Eventually, all developed countries will need to introduce a Universal Basic Income to accommodate social changes with AI and just the general automation already underway.
misfittroy on
All the Norwegians and Fins moving to Sweden?
manitobot on
Funny bc Brexit
Supersnow845 on
For absolutely no reason 3 letter country codes annoy me while I use 2 letter codes all the time
LoudCrickets72 on
If Ireland is losing people, I’ll be more than happy to move and work there.
Zealousideal_Bit5913 on
Color scheme would have been much better graded according to percentage change. Half a million people is a shit-ton of Slovenians, e.g., equivalent to the impact of Italy’s projected decline on that society.
Formal_Economist7342 on
The bytes that it took to load this unto my screen were wasted.
Upbeat-Pitch4375 on
This is undoubtedly a significant underestimate of the rate of decline, given the trajectory of plummeting birth rates and the inevitable backlash against migration in places like Sweden.
Chip_Vinegar on
Bad map
geviar on
Demographic prediccions for a 75 years time frame are just bullshit.
Any-Original-6113 on
What’s happening to Poland?
Altaccount330 on
Don’t worry, people from the Middle East and Africa will continue to migrate to Europe and have large families to compensate.
InkOnTube on
Woah man! Predictions that are far in the future that we won’t live to see it! Amazing!
Tell you what: I predict that Bosnia will become world’s superpower by 2200!
Unable-Emu9143 on
This is absolutely wrong, Switzerland is growing like crazy and will continue to grow with this amount of migration.
The only way I can see this happen is if the mediterranian/turkey/russia becomes unpassable which seems impossible.
Routine_Ad_2695 on
As I said on other posts I would expect Spain to have a better population forecast that other major European countries because of the mass Latin American immigration and the easier integration
Fat_Ben_Made_Poop on
What language Sweden speak in 2100?
SuB626 on
We all know these 75 year forecasts are just useless waste of bits on the internet.
cemoxturk on
We are so getting invaded
quercus-88 on
We Europeans really need to get our birthrate up from catastrophic to at least only terrible. Our current trajectory is one of demographic, economic and cultural suicide.
32 Kommentare
Where are the Italians going?
what could cause France to grow and Germany not ?
That’s a lot of Ukrainians
Woke EU is falling apart
Long-term population forecast is as good as someone predicting the exact date of your death.
Yikes for Great Britain. They are already one of the densest populated countries!
It looks like for the most part, Europe’s going to enter a significant population decline in 2100, and even for the remaining population, they are rapidly aging.
Definitely a demographic crisis currently that is expected to be much worse by then.
I think it might be more interesting to see the relative (%) population change. The coloring scheme makes it seem like some countries don’t have it bad when it’s actually just as bad as some others. Like Italy and Bulgaria for example: 23.8M is a bit less than 50% of Italy’s population, and 3.2M is just about 50% of Bulgaria’s population. But the color makes it seem that Bulgaria is in a much better position while it is in fact worse.
It is much worse than it looks
The working age population is going to fall in every single one of those countries
You have to look at inmigration too. Spain has one of the lowest ferrtility rates in the world but the population is increasing 300k every year.
The future is AI and brownish people. The less-fertile countries have been the big consumers of the earth. These countries will be accepting more and more immigrants and African countries have lots of young people ready to work elsewhere. Japan now has many more Southeast Asian immigrants than even ten years ago.
Low inputs into pension plans with declining size of working cohorts is a big fear of less-fertile countries. There is already unemployment in some sectors. Eventually, all developed countries will need to introduce a Universal Basic Income to accommodate social changes with AI and just the general automation already underway.
All the Norwegians and Fins moving to Sweden?
Funny bc Brexit
For absolutely no reason 3 letter country codes annoy me while I use 2 letter codes all the time
If Ireland is losing people, I’ll be more than happy to move and work there.
Color scheme would have been much better graded according to percentage change. Half a million people is a shit-ton of Slovenians, e.g., equivalent to the impact of Italy’s projected decline on that society.
The bytes that it took to load this unto my screen were wasted.
This is undoubtedly a significant underestimate of the rate of decline, given the trajectory of plummeting birth rates and the inevitable backlash against migration in places like Sweden.
Bad map
Demographic prediccions for a 75 years time frame are just bullshit.
What’s happening to Poland?
Don’t worry, people from the Middle East and Africa will continue to migrate to Europe and have large families to compensate.
Woah man! Predictions that are far in the future that we won’t live to see it! Amazing!
Tell you what: I predict that Bosnia will become world’s superpower by 2200!
This is absolutely wrong, Switzerland is growing like crazy and will continue to grow with this amount of migration.
The only way I can see this happen is if the mediterranian/turkey/russia becomes unpassable which seems impossible.
As I said on other posts I would expect Spain to have a better population forecast that other major European countries because of the mass Latin American immigration and the easier integration
What language Sweden speak in 2100?
We all know these 75 year forecasts are just useless waste of bits on the internet.
We are so getting invaded
We Europeans really need to get our birthrate up from catastrophic to at least only terrible. Our current trajectory is one of demographic, economic and cultural suicide.
https://www.mckinsey.com/mgi/our-research/dependency-and-depopulation-confronting-the-consequences-of-a-new-demographic-reality
(Before you ask. Yes, i have children and yes, it’s great.)
The more I look at this, the more I think that robots will be replacing a huge % of the population and workforce.
Poland’s bigger than Russia is wild.
Wait, thought Italy was kicking off about too many migrants or smth?