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    Wo weiße Weihnachten in den USA am wahrscheinlichsten sind

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    4. Jesus-slaves on

      I lived in Alabama for 30 years. I can confirm we had plenty 70°F Christmases.

    6. Mike2k33 on

      Not too many white Christmases in SE Wisconsin recently. Gotta be 30% or less in the last 20 years

      We would’ve had a white Christmas this year if Christmas was held any day in the first half of December

    9. Glowing_bubba on

      Chicago is like 5%, don’t remember the last white Christmas it’s been so long

    11. Electrical_Cut8610 on

      Checking in from Maine. We got 9-14 inches two days ago depending on the location. Definitely a white Christmas here.

    13. Plaitkul117 on

      Wow considering NYC is always really Christmas associated, I really thought they were having white Christmas way more often up there. I thought it was the norm.

    14. Mysterious_Quiet_253 on

      Despite it’s reputation for snow, Buffalo NY doesn’t normally have a white Christmas.

    15. Jay__Riemenschneider on

      Haven’t had a white Christmas in 15+ years in the 10-25% range.

    16. V1-R0t8 on

      TL;DR: roughly 8% of the population of the USA is more likely than not to have a White Christmas.

      My first thought when I saw this was “how does this correlate with population distribution?”. My second thought was “should I really look to answer this question on Christmas Day?” – the answer was “yes”, but with a few short cuts.

      Answer: 8.3% of the population of the USA has more than a 50:50 chance of >1 inch of snow lying on the ground on Christmas Day.

      Sources:

      [Snowfall Probabilities by Weather Station from 1991-2020 Climate Normals](https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/media/3501)

      [County Population Totals and Components of Change: 2020-2024](https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2020s-counties-total.html)

      Method:
      I’ve stripped out any stations which don’t have a valid dataset for snowfall (19.5%) and assigned county populations to the nearest station (splitting population equally across weather stations in a county, and assigning populations to neighbouring counties when no weather station is available). I’ve aggregated populations into 10%, 20%, 30% and so on probabilities of snow and so on).

      There are some weaknesses in this, for example county populations are a bit too big for my liking. I’ll maybe take another look at this and do a longer post on r/weather. Just not on Christmas Day.

    17. cre8ivjay on

      It’s one of the coldest Christmases I can remember here in Alberta. Hovers between -20c and – 30c and plenty of snow.

      Ski conditions are great though!

      Edit: come to think of it, these aren’t entirely uncommon temps for December here.

    18. mischling2543 on

      As a Canadian, the phrase white christmas is so weird to me. Like no one in my family, even my 80+ year old grandparents, can remember a christmas without snow

    21. Stop_Drop_Scroll on

      We got a white Christmas just north of Boston. Dusting-inch on the ground from yesterday, light flurries right now.

    25. StOnEy333 on

      It’s 55 degrees and raining here in the San Francisco Bay Area. Pray for us, everybody.

    26. RichardXV on

      Original white christmas was in Sweden where Jesus was born. Oh wait, he was born in Palestine where it never snows?

    27. [deleted] on

      i wish it was snowing today in Minnesota! the melting snow looks like dirt! merry xmas!

    30. SunsApple on

      There’s snow on the ground here in Minnesota. Not super deep in the Twin Cities but it counts!

    32. Meddy020 on

      I feel like that purple color used to go a lot closer to the coast in the northeast , maybe I’m remembering it different when growing up

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