Tasha Kheiriddin: Die Konservativen, die Pierre Poilievre ersetzen könnten
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/the-conservatives-who-could-replace-pierre-poilievre
Tasha Kheiriddin: Die Konservativen, die Pierre Poilievre ersetzen könnten
https://nationalpost.com/opinion/the-conservatives-who-could-replace-pierre-poilievre
9 Kommentare
It must suck to be PP. A lifelong career in politics that should have naturally climaxed at becoming PM. He was so close. Polls pointed to him demolishing Trudeau in an election.
And then Trump opened his mouth.
Trudeau quit, and Canadian voters were naturally going to look for an anti-Trump. For PP, who was using snappy, Trump-style slogans his whole campaign, this was one of the nails in his coffin. Then there was the complacency.
Canadians were pissed at the faltering immigration system, yet PP failed to capitalize on that. Seemingly apprehensive to do anything about mass immigration, he kept it safe. Gave some vague „tying immigration to housing starts“ answer. Nobody knew his plan. He suffered for it. He did this on a lot of issues, actually. The conservatives didn’t release their full platform until *a week* before the election.
Now, it looks like he might lose his leadership position. What a colossal fumble, and he has no one to blame but himself for becoming complacent and forgetting to actually court Canadian voters on the important issues
Well this article has quite a few critiques notably this one:
>Poilievre’s also got to get a better script. In a year end interview with the CBC’s Rosemary Barton, when asked about Ma’s floor crossing, he said it was a “problem of Mark Carney’s leadership” and then pivoted to canned statements about “a costly Liberal majority.” It wasn’t just the lines that were tired: Poilievre himself looked weary, stumbling over words at one point, unlike the fiery fighter of the last election.
The author also hints that Pierre’s caucus might be the ones that oust him, and the leadership review is irrelevant in that scenario.
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I think the list is mostly correct, though there will probably be a Lewis type candidate on the religious right, though their influence isn’t big enough to win.
I just don’t see how anybody can beat Jivani though, no other candidate appeals to the culture war types who are angry about everything, whether it be ostriches, the WEF, or „Doug Ford the Liberal“.
Jason Kenney is too left wing/anti-Trump to realistically appeal to the base, notwithstanding the lingering anger over his Covid restrictions. As he would say, „the lunatics have taken over the asylum“. He’s pretty clearly planning a run though.
Mark Mulroney is irrelevant, but that won’t stop him from trying to run.
And Doug Ford just isn’t going to run, for a variety of reasons. I just wish this talking point would die. He is unable to learn French, the base hates him, and there are a bunch of MPs/staffers who have been fired by him. Anyways, why would he want to quit being Mayor of Ontario, it’s his dream job to go to photo ops and ribbon cutting every day.
Jivani seems like he’d appeal to the harder end of the CPC, but would face a major electability challenge more broadly. In many ways he’s a very similar candidate to PP, just with a smile, and his connections to Vance and imitations of Kirk’s style are not positives on the national stage. How he fares will be a test of how of strong a moderating force remains in the CPC and if they can avoid the perception of doubling down on what didn’t work this year.
Kenney may want it, but given how his time with the UPC went i have a feeling he’ll struggle significantly. He’s a master at the internal political game though, and may still have friends who just want the Harper days back.
The challenge is the CPC has a pretty thin bench to pull from right now. They’ve lost a lot of their stronger figures, and many of the more politically successful Provincial PC politicians are more aligned with Carney than what gets people elected in the CPC.
The CPC is split into two kinds of people right now; the ones who just want to be mad, and the ones who want to win. They’re further apart from each other than the “want to wins” are from the LPC.
The interesting part of the article, or rather uninteresting part, are the candidates that Kheiriddin lays out who could potentially capture the CPC leadership in the wake of a Poilievre ouster. I think the article reinforces the notion that there really isn’t anyone that is ready and willing to step in as leader. I don’t think it’s going to be Kenney, although Tasha doesn’t buy that he’s uninterested.
Try and find someone who is not bat shit wacko this time please. For the first time in my entire life time, I didn’t vote conservative last election because of the constant nutty BS. How about someone who is conservative fiscally, wants to make sure everyone eats and is housed and doesn’t care about who you wake up to or who you pray or don’t pray to. Just make our lives better and keep people working in Canada. Oh and stop giving away the store to everyone in the world who asks for it. They wouldn’t give it to us because they are not stupid like our leadership
When they start to talk about who can replace the leader, the leader is done. I have never seen an exception to this