In den Vereinigten Staaten sind gebildetere Mütter im Durchschnitt nicht nur älter, sondern auch im Alter näher an ihren männlichen Partnern. Da es bei Paaren zwischen 2010 und 2024 zu Verzögerungen bei der Geburt von Kindern kommt, haben sich die Altersunterschiede auf allen Ebenen des elterlichen Bildungsniveaus verringert, was darauf hindeutet, dass Eltern zunehmend Kinder in einer ähnlichen Lebensphase bekommen.
Die Diagramme für 2010 und 2024 befinden sich auf derselben X-Achse, um den Vergleich zu erleichtern. Das dritte Diagramm zeigt Trends im Zeitverlauf, gruppiert nach Bildungsniveau der Mutter, das vierte Diagramm zeigt dasselbe, jedoch nach Bildungsniveau des Vaters.
Code-Komplettlösung, weitere Details und Hinweise zu Datenquellen: https://aaronjbecker.com/posts/syncing-life-stages-trends-in-parental-age-by-educational-attainment/
Von aar0nbecker
3 Kommentare
Data source:
* birth data files and documentation: [https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/vitalstatsonline.htm](https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data_access/vitalstatsonline.htm)
* CSV versions of birth data files: [https://data.nber.org/nvss/natality/csv/](https://data.nber.org/nvss/natality/csv/)
Tools used:
* Analysis: polars
* Visualization: matplotlib
Data on maternal educational attainment is only available since ~2005, and remains very spotty until 2010. Before 2005 education was reported in terms of years of education rather than attainment levels, which makes it difficult to compare earlier and more recent data. To make matters worse, there’s a blind spot in the data while this transition is underway. Paternal education has only been reported since 2011, and only reliably since ~2015. Although it’s collected by the CDC’s National Center for Health Statistics, the data is ultimately sourced from each state’s vital records office, meaning that different reporting standards and encodings introduce some noise, particularly over time.
Code walkthrough, more details, and notes on data sources: [https://aaronjbecker.com/posts/syncing-life-stages-trends-in-parental-age-by-educational-attainment/](https://aaronjbecker.com/posts/syncing-life-stages-trends-in-parental-age-by-educational-attainment/)
The age-gap part is interesting but…
> more educated mothers are not only older, on average,
Isn’t the maternal age data skewed by the fact that a mother basically **can’t** have completed certain levels of education without reaching a certain age?
For example, in the „Some HS“ category there could be 19-year-old mothers and 41-year-old mothers. But in the „Bachelor’s“ category there are probably *zero* 19-year-old mothers because (almost) no one completes a bachelor’s degree by age 19, and in the doctorate category there are probably zero mothers younger than 24 or 25, for the same reason.
Interesting that the average age of the father is always older than the mother