Die IEA hat jahrzehntelang die Einführung erneuerbarer Energien stark unterschätzt, doch jetzt ist sie wirklich in die Bereiche des Absurden und Lächerlichen vorgedrungen. Um zu diesen neuen Schlussfolgerungen für die fossile Brennstoffe-freundliche Industrie zu gelangen, muss sie die erklärten Netto-Null-Verpflichtungen verschiedener globaler Regierungen ignorieren. Wenn man sie mit einbezieht, allein das führt dazu, dass der Ölverbrauch im Jahr 2050 um 77 % sinken wird.
Eine andere Sache, die sie ignorieren mussten? Einführung von Elektrofahrzeugen. Diese neuen Zahlen gehen davon aus, dass es im Jahr 2050 nicht mehr auf der Welt geben wird als heute.
Die Wahrheit ist das Der weltweite Kohleverbrauch ist bereits stark rückläufig, und Öl wird bald folgen.
Following pressure from the US government, the IEA has revised its figures to say global oil use will keep increasing until 2050, because there will be no increase in the amount of EVs by then.
byu/lughnasadh inFuturology
10 Kommentare
I get the feeling everyone is just waiting for Trump to be removed at this point.
If anyone believes these numbers and invests their money on oil, they deserve to lose their shirts when these companies inevitably fail.
Its amazing just how vast the Oil Industry reach is. They appear to have a well established plan to influence Politicians and Governments, conventional and social media (Epstein), and have a track record of suppressing innovation and most recently seem to have bought an entire Country.
This feels like a pump and dump. The ultra rich know solar & alterntive power sources will increasingly take market share because they economically make more sense then costly petroleum extraction. They need rubes (aka ‚the poors‘) to invest on mass into these markets, and increase share price, so they can begin to exit them at maximum profit.
There’s also the matter of social control. Most fossel fuel alternatives are decentralised, solar cells on your roof or a small windmill attached to a building, you don’t need enormous companies with fixed channels and infrastructure to supply power. Once the majority of people are not dependent on enormous companies to supply fuel and power, the ultra rich and their puppet government leaders lose control.
Imagine the world didn’t need Russian oil, Putin would be out of power in a week. Imagine fossel fuel companies couldn’t get massive (taxpayer) government subsidies and then gouge the consumer, how would they maintain their network of financial patronage of government leaders.
The Stone Age didn’t end because we ran out of stones, the Bronze Age didn’t end because we ran out of bronze, and the Iron Age didn’t end because we ran out of iron. They were superceed by new technology.
The Petrolium Age won’t end because we run out of petroleum, it’s use will dwindled to providing resources for plastic manufacturing and industrial furtiliser, and specialist fuels.
The IEA has chronically underestimated the adoption of anything new and if anyone is making any sort of decision based on what they’ve predicted…
It will be an interesting world when more countries start simply boycotting the US and everything it participates in.
This isn’t actually true though. The IEA has produced 2 scenarios. One of which shows continued growth in fossil fuel use. Ember did a livestream where they discuss this https://youtu.be/1n9JJvw0vo8
The post title is false. All the IEA did was include a scenario (among the others) for what happens if current law is followed with no other changes. But the report says it’s highly unlikely.
The US is irrelevant. China owns the global renewable energy future. It’s their game. They dominate the entire production chain, they dominate innovation. They have a plan….the plan is to make renewable energy so cheap, energy will practically be free.
IEA (International Energy Agency)?
Is this using International in the same way as the word world is used in the Baseball World Series?