Chinas Fruchtbarkeitskrise nach Provinz
Von vladgrinch
Chinas Fruchtbarkeitskrise nach Provinz
Von vladgrinch
20 Kommentare
The national average is estimated at just 1.0 child per woman (2023), far below the replacement rate of 2.1. Yet regional differences persist: Guizhou stands out with the highest rate, around 2.19 children per woman, while northeastern provinces like Heilongjiang (0.52) and Shanghai (0.53) have reached what demographers describe as “extinction-level” fertility.
World population is 8.254 Billion and counting.
This isnt a crisis.
We have similar in Ukraine, but even higher disparity between regions. In some it’s ≈0
Why is in China crisis and in EU not ?
0.52 is crazy. It’ll empty in next 50 years unless and until it gets migration
Pretty ironic/coincidental that the region where they’re trying to do the most ethnic cleansing and forced conversion of religious minorities also has the highest fertility.
„Extinction levels“?
Are we even surprised about Tibet?
Beautiful.
Isnt everything under 2.1 technically „extinction level“? The legend should read „extinction within 100 years“ for the last category
They had a nice run though
It’s interesting in the current political climate to see this.
Right now it’s not unlikely that in the next 50-100 years the question of who the world’s super power is will be settled by this factor.
Either birth rate goes up massively, unlikely. Or whoever has good levels of immigration and integration will be the dominant world power.
This sounds like a load of fearmongering.
I’m not disputing the data but I am disputing the diction surrounding the map.
“Crisis”
“Extinction”
Seriously?
China’s economy is still growing at a solid pace and there is no guarantee that it will maintain this low TFR indefinitely, especially as a shrinking workforce makes wages more competitive and a shrinking population makes housing more affordable.
Over a billion people aren’t sustainable tbh, but the transition phase to less people will be brutal like almost everywhere else in the world. Maybe that’s how humanity will survive the climate crisis with many countrys become literal hell.
is it related to GDP ?
Can anyone tell me why Manchuria regions has much lower fertility than the rest of the country? Seems random
This is good though, not only for China but for the world. I know we just continue with GNP and production and taxes and services and are on that narrow little trajectory of this is the only way life can continue. We have to find other ways to live on the planet too. Now the robots can help so great less people, unless we turn out to be the slaves for the robots. Possible
What trip. “Extinction levels”?? Any value below replacement is extinction…
Tibet is their best bet
A government-made crisis, had china not been extremely authoritarian and has its economy not been horrible because of its ideology this probably would not happen or it would have happened much later.