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    1. Instead of taking a low profile and playing down any claims to Taiwan’s independent status like his more cautious DPP predecessor Tsai Ying-wen, Lai has lurched toward formal independence with a succession of speeches making the case for Taiwanese nationhood.

      On the high-stakes Taiwan issue, Washington should tread carefully. Taiwan constitutes a core interest for China and the military balance gets ever more lopsided against Taiwan by the day.

      American leaders should not hesitate to rein in Taiwan’s evidently reckless leader, perhaps with a private warning. It would not be the first time that Washington has rebuked Taipei for threatening the status quo.

      In the meantime, the U.S. should refocus its defense efforts in the Pacific on protecting actual treaty allies Australia, Japan, the Philippines, and South Korea—a wholly realistic and sensible goal. But Taiwan does not represent a vital U.S. national security interest. It is not a treaty ally, nor are the various geostrategic or economic rationales to defend Taiwan enough to risk a potentially catastrophic great power war.

    2. The-Intermediator141 on

      Acknowledging the de facto (and arguably de jure as it’s never been a part of the PRC) independence Taiwan has had for over 70 years makes him reckless? I think that just makes him not weak, especially as China continues to ramp up its rhetoric & gets closer to its supposed invasion timeline.

      Now is not the time to cower in fear, that’s how you get invasion plans accelerated.

    3. Obviously Taiwan is independent.

      It arguably makes sense to declare independence formally before China gets strong enough to respond immediately with war, which will likely be sometime in the next 2 to 10 years.

      If Trump is smart enough (hmmmm…), he might be able to use this as a bargaining chip with Xi to get some concessions on his trade war.

      On this article, well it is self-evidently poorly thought out. I don’t understand the point of the discussion on the M1 Abrams tank. How are the strengths and weaknesses of the M1 Abrams relevant for the Pacific? Does the author think the US Army will be occupying the Chinese mainland?

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