Können Äthiopien, Ägypten und Sudan Frieden gegen Wohlstand eintauschen?

Original Submission Statement by u/john_andrew_smith101:

> For part 2 of (hopefully) my series on conflicts nobody cares about, we have the intersection of the Sudanese civil war, the Nile river dispute, and tensions throughout the Horn of Africa. Two of the biggest drivers of geopolitical tension in the region are based around Ethiopia’s needs; the construction of their Nile river dam, and their quest for access to the sea.

> The Nile river dispute has been long going, and despite the dam being finished, tensions continue because the Egyptians are still mad that the Ethiopians aren’t bound to a colonial treaty between Egypt, Sudan, and the UK regarding water rights to the Nile. Egypt is acting really, really stupid here because Ethiopia was never a signatory to the treaty, was never bound to it, and Ethiopia controls most of it. The author of this article makes a mistake, the Ethiopian dam is already finished and functioning.

> Ethiopia also really, really wants access to the sea, they are the most populous land locked country in the world, and being supplied solely through Djibouti is no longer enough. Tensions have risen on the borders of Somalia and Eritrea recently because Eritrea is paranoid of an Ethiopian invasion, and Somalia is mad that Ethiopia recognized Somaliland.

> The author here proposes a solution to both disputes, as well as the Sudanese civil war. It’s a bad solution that won’t work, but it does demonstrate what the main disputes in the region are. Most of the regional powers want to support the SAF in Sudan, but are distracted by other disputes and conflicts. The author proposes an agreement between Egypt and Ethiopia over use of the dam, and in exchange, Ethiopia gets port rights in Port Sudan. That won’t work because Port Sudan is too far away to be useful, and has no reason to give up any water rights, but it’s an interesting proposal nonetheless.