NASA -Vorschlag, einen Asteroiden zu zerstören, der eine Bedrohung darstellt. Es hat eine 4% ige Chance, den Mond zu schlagen und schädliche Trümmer zu erzeugen
https://phys.org/news/2025-09-destroying-asteroid-yr4-option-moon.html
NASA -Vorschlag, einen Asteroiden zu zerstören, der eine Bedrohung darstellt. Es hat eine 4% ige Chance, den Mond zu schlagen und schädliche Trümmer zu erzeugen
https://phys.org/news/2025-09-destroying-asteroid-yr4-option-moon.html
10 Kommentare
I guess we all know what needs to happen, but the question is: where do we find a bunch of very skilled oil drillers nowadays?
The risk may be small, but NASA engineers and scientists propose eliminating it. It has a 4% chance of hitting the Moon and causing debris that could damage satellites and pose a threat to astronauts and space missions.
The event is calculated to occur in 2032.
An early nudge may be enough to deflect the asteroid, even if it doesn’t completely destroy it. But, if that fails, it could pose an even greater threat to Earth.
The recent DART missions proves that NASA can land craft, filled with explosives, on asteroids.
[Link to preprint paper](https://dx.doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2509.12351)
What about that tungsten dart proposed in the [Kurzgesagt video](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dKm7T13X7n4)?
So 2032 is when the asteroid we blew up to prevent from hitting the moon rains giant space rock chunks down all over earth instead, maybe
If you ever read Seveneves I will say in the extreme worst scenario just enjoy the view.
That said, this doesn’t seem as catastrophic as that, but it’s still something to keep an eye on…and that’s assuming they get work started now. Seven years isn’t that much time.
4% isn’t nearly high enough, gotta get that number up.
Well the moon is slowly floating away from the earth at about 1.5 inches per year, perhaps they should have the asteroid slowly nudge the moon closer to earth.
Wasn’t there a movie where they smashed the moon? What was that?
When we track an object over time, our confidence in predicting its path increases with each new observation. At first, the probability of impact may rise as data refines the orbit, but eventually continued tracking will narrow the outcome to either 0% (no impact) or 100% (confirmed impact). A figure like 4% could simply represent the start of this refinement curve. If the probability is trending upward, preparation should begin early, since intervention is much easier when there is more time.
Even in the worst case, this situation could serve as valuable practice allowing us to develop and test the methods needed to deflect or redirect a real threat in the future.
Wait, is this the same “city killer” sized asteroid that, back in April, they said had like a 1% chance of directly impacting earth in 2032? Which then apparently became a 0% chance soon after the news went viral?
Yeah this asteroid is definitely on track to hit us lmao