I like the news recently that the Artemis 2 rocket is ready.
But, when I come on here and mention that the US is losing to China because of delays, I get downvoted into oblivion.
seniorfrito on
Why would we need to race to return to the moon? Is this going to be an ongoing thing? Are they going to turn it into a competitive sport in the Olympics? We’ve got better things to worry about.
ac9116 on
Yes, totally SpaceX’s fault that Congress underfunded every part of the program except wasting billions on the SLS, which took 20 years to get off the ground. It’s also SpaceX’s fault that the administration hasn’t committed to the program and this year proposed significantly cutting NASA’s budget, leading to wide scale departures and layoffs. It’s gotta be SpaceX’s fault, with the $3b and 5 years that they were awarded out of $100b and 20+ years of the program as a whole, has fallen behind schedule. It’s SpaceX’s fault that the unnecessarily complex system of launching humans to send them to a tiny space station around the moon so they could get out of the first spacecraft and get into another spacecraft just for the moon landing so that they could ride the second spacecraft back to the space station, get on the first spacecraft, and then return to Earth is at risk of not meeting timelines when we haven’t seen a single human test the Orion craft, the Gateway hasn’t launched, and the SLS isn’t ready for the later stages of the mission.
Sure.
JohnnyGFX on
Losing? We’ve already lost. The Trump admin has seen to that.
Watch_Guy_Jim on
Crazy considering we went so quickly in the 60s. So strange.
BaxBaxPop on
This article is so short sited.
What race to the Moon? To set foot on the moon? The US won that. China’s about to catch up from their 60 year deficit.
The race to colonize the Moon? The US is way ahead in that race because Starship is the only system that makes that truly cost effective.
glenndrip on
China might put boots back first but one mission of Artemis will land more cargo than 10 China landings. So perspective might be key here.
hobhamwich on
Point at gross underfunding of science in general.
Vox_Causa on
Trump and the GOP cut funding for NASA, science, and education. They have ceded US dominance in space so Donnie’s big $$$ donors can get even richer.
Illustrious_Fan_8148 on
There is so much happening in the private space sector at least, it seems like thats one area china actually is struggling with vs the west.
Super excited for rocketlabs neutron debut later this year, its going to be a significant new launch vehicle
DarXIV on
Remember when he claimed we would be going to Mars? That didn’t age well.
hadMcDofordinner on
No, Space X has helped the US maintain its space savvy.
The media has been glooming and dooming the US for years and years now. China was supposed to have knocked the US economy off its pedestal by now. LOL
scyoung121 on
China is run by technocrats and engineers. The US is run by morons who think 5G will give you Covid. What do you expect?
>Other parts of the NASA moon mission are nearly ready, after their own delays and cost overruns… But SpaceX’s lunar lander project is now so far behind schedule that there are increasing doubts the United States will beat China…
Starting off with a bang. Perhaps they should mention that Orion has been in development and funded sine 2006, and HLS since 2021?
Those 7 officials including Allen Cutler, President of t[he Coalition for Deep Space Exploration](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition_for_Deep_Space_Exploration), founded by Aerojet, Boeing, Lockheed and Northrup; Jim Bridenstine, who works for ULA; and John Shaw, who works for Sierra Space.
None of these conflicts of interest were described in this article.
The link is to a paper describing an architecture utilizing the Constellation program. Ares V, which SLS is essentially derived from, was a far more capable rocket ([70t to TLI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ares_V) vs 27t for SLS). SLS can’t even deliver Orion to a low lunar orbit, necessitating all of these issues that the NYT is complaining about.
If you click on the linked article, the first step to their plan is refueling a Centaur III upper stage in orbit. And hydrolox refueling is far more questionable than methalox, giving the complexities of dealing with liquid hydrogen. Clearly the writer of the article didn’t look at his own references. Also requires the SLS Block 2, which isn’t scheduled to launch until Artemis 9, and requires NG’s BOLE, which recently exploded on it’s test stand in Utah.
>Without such a shift, the United States is likely to lose the race, the former NASA officials predicted.
China is trying to replicate Apollo. Artemis is trying to build a moon base. The finish lines for both are fairly distant.
This was a really poorly researched and biased article. Shame on the author, Eric Lipton, and The NY Times.
spacerfirstclass on
Anybody who suggests the US can develop a brand new crewed lunar lander from scratch in 5 years to replace Starship is delusional, especially if this is to be done by old space companies like Lockheed Martin and Boeing. Loverro, Cooke, etc should know this very well, given they oversaw Orion which is simpler than a lander but still took 20 years to develop. Yet they nevertheless are suggesting this, someone is being dishonest here.
Xenomorph555 on
Kind of annoying that these threads are an almost daily thing on r/space news now with no variation. Meanwhile actual tech or update posts are basically ignored.
With regards to blaming SpaceX though, i’d say that’s more the US governments fault for being so twitchy with plans over 2 and a half decades. „We’re doing constellation, actually no, we’re doing comets, WE’RE DOING MARS, actually no we’re doing the moon, we’re doing the moon.. but lower budget?“
I love Obama but his admin was terrible for space related programs.
DeezNeezuts on
Setting ambitious goals that push a stagnant industry into evolving isn’t a bad thing. What a hack article.
Vulllen on
Gross underfunding. It’s talk like that really shows how little you value science as a whole. Everything we learn about space and beyond is 2,000% worth it. How did we come up with green energy if it wasn’t for science? Please look more into these projects instead of reading headlines
natural_disaster0 on
Our leaders chose not to race. So its less that we’re losing and more that we stopped trying – which is equally frustrating
PM-MeYourSexySelf on
The irony of DOGE is that Elon almost single haven’t guaranteed the loss of American superiority in the space race for generations. And he may have also guaranteed we’ll never make it to Mars in his lifetime.
Between attacks on education, stunting our ability to train the scientists and engineers needed to build stuff, and slashing science endeavors across the board, we will lose the future scientists we need to do pretty much everything.
In every meaningful way we’re moving backwards. Because conservatives don’t care about the future. They’re too engrossed in reliving the past and enshrining tradition. They’d take us back to 1950 if they could. That’s their ideal America. Well, they’re doing it by policy.
YNot1989 on
So what?
Say China gets to the moon before we return to the moon. A Taikonaut plants a Red Banner on the moon, and all of America freaks the fuck out. The US would spare no expense to one-up the Chinese after that.
And if we don’t, the industry is already spending plenty of its own money to try and get hardware on the surface and explore commercial opportunities in Cislunar space, which will ramp up and eclipse any flags-and-footprints effort.
k0uch on
Oh no, we basically attacked science and slashed funding for NASA, who would have predicted there would be
*Checks notes+
Consequences
Johnnythemonkey2010 on
yeah well this is kind of what happens when you defund everything
Arbiter61 on
I just recently looked into this and got a bunch of interesting stats.
**NASA’s Record:**
– It took NASA 11 years to go from being founded to landing on the moon.
– It only took 7 years, if you count from the moment Kennedy announced the project specifically to land on the moon.
– During their first 11 years, NASA (building technology that simply had no real precursors) managed a ~95% success rate with their launches.
– By the time NASA had spent an inflation-adjusted amount of money comparable to the resources SpaceX has had access to, they were already doing manned orbits around the moon – clearly very close to accomplishing their objective.
**SpaceX’s Record:**
– Founded 23 years ago and still nowhere close to mission accomplished.
– by year 11 (when NASA had already succeeded), Space X was averaging only a ~70% success rate with their launches.
– While their record is improved today, nearly all of those launches are unnamed rockets bringing satellites into low earth orbit.
– Despite the benefit of 60 years of advances in human technology, SpaceX has only managed to get out of low earth orbit once, when they flung a car at the sun.
– While getting to Mars is a far more complicated project than the moon, SpaceX hasn’t even gotten so much as a Rover, satellite, or flyover to Mars, even as the refunded NASA has landed multiple rovers in the same relative period.
*So what’s the reason for the contrast?*
What we’re seeing here is the fundamental difference between a for-profit model and one that puts 100% of their recourses into accomplishing the mission.
While it would eventually cost more than SpaceX has received so far for NASA to land on the moon, an apples to apples comparison of how NASA was doing at this same point in time (in terms of both finances and literal time) shows that Musk isn’t remotely close to achieving what NASA had achieved more than half a century earlier.
This seems to confirm undeniably that trying to privatize space flight to make it „more efficient“, which was a major justification Musk provided to secure the tens of billions in funding they gave him, is simply not possible
**Because at the end of the day, for-profit companies prioritize profit over results, while publicly funded programs place 100% of their resources until accomplishing the mission.**
td_surewhynot on
sorry, but the only way to win this race is not to run
even with Starship, there’s nothing on the Moon worth having except maybe raw materials for habs
let the robots build the lunar colonies
we need to be building spinning habs at Lagrange points, beautiful spaces where people **will actually enjoy living**, not obsessing over how to get stuck in a new gravity well
Dramatic-Bend179 on
Oh no, not the moon! What will we do if someone else is on the moon? They will have moon advantage and what will we have? Nothing, thats what.
Zorothegallade on
Decades of cutting funding to education and scientific research and entrusting the development of the sector to a private tycoon who has been on a streak of failed projects and false advertisement led to the US being left behind in aerospace technology? Color me utterly not shocked.
Professional_East281 on
Didnt a U.S corp just put another lunar lander on the moon back in March?
Jmalco55 on
We are the only country that can return to the moon. Words still have meaning, right??
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I like the news recently that the Artemis 2 rocket is ready.
But, when I come on here and mention that the US is losing to China because of delays, I get downvoted into oblivion.
Why would we need to race to return to the moon? Is this going to be an ongoing thing? Are they going to turn it into a competitive sport in the Olympics? We’ve got better things to worry about.
Yes, totally SpaceX’s fault that Congress underfunded every part of the program except wasting billions on the SLS, which took 20 years to get off the ground. It’s also SpaceX’s fault that the administration hasn’t committed to the program and this year proposed significantly cutting NASA’s budget, leading to wide scale departures and layoffs. It’s gotta be SpaceX’s fault, with the $3b and 5 years that they were awarded out of $100b and 20+ years of the program as a whole, has fallen behind schedule. It’s SpaceX’s fault that the unnecessarily complex system of launching humans to send them to a tiny space station around the moon so they could get out of the first spacecraft and get into another spacecraft just for the moon landing so that they could ride the second spacecraft back to the space station, get on the first spacecraft, and then return to Earth is at risk of not meeting timelines when we haven’t seen a single human test the Orion craft, the Gateway hasn’t launched, and the SLS isn’t ready for the later stages of the mission.
Sure.
Losing? We’ve already lost. The Trump admin has seen to that.
Crazy considering we went so quickly in the 60s. So strange.
This article is so short sited.
What race to the Moon? To set foot on the moon? The US won that. China’s about to catch up from their 60 year deficit.
The race to colonize the Moon? The US is way ahead in that race because Starship is the only system that makes that truly cost effective.
China might put boots back first but one mission of Artemis will land more cargo than 10 China landings. So perspective might be key here.
Point at gross underfunding of science in general.
Trump and the GOP cut funding for NASA, science, and education. They have ceded US dominance in space so Donnie’s big $$$ donors can get even richer.
There is so much happening in the private space sector at least, it seems like thats one area china actually is struggling with vs the west.
Super excited for rocketlabs neutron debut later this year, its going to be a significant new launch vehicle
Remember when he claimed we would be going to Mars? That didn’t age well.
No, Space X has helped the US maintain its space savvy.
The media has been glooming and dooming the US for years and years now. China was supposed to have knocked the US economy off its pedestal by now. LOL
China is run by technocrats and engineers. The US is run by morons who think 5G will give you Covid. What do you expect?
Am I allowed to copy/paste my interpretation in [another sub](https://www.reddit.com/r/SpaceXLounge/comments/1nlw47e/nyt_us_is_losing_race_to_return_to_moon_critics/)?
>Other parts of the NASA moon mission are nearly ready, after their own delays and cost overruns… But SpaceX’s lunar lander project is now so far behind schedule that there are increasing doubts the United States will beat China…
Starting off with a bang. Perhaps they should mention that Orion has been in development and funded sine 2006, and HLS since 2021?
>But seven current and former senior NASA officials, in [recent](https://www.commerce.senate.gov/2025/9/there-s-a-bad-moon-on-the-rise-why-congress-and-nasa-must-thwart-china-in-the-space-race_2)public %5Bstatements%5D(https://www.congress.gov/118/chrg/CHRG-118hhrg54502/CHRG-118hhrg54502.pdf#page=70) and interviews with The New York Times, said their questions about SpaceX and its new Starship rocket had nothing to do with the public spat between the president and his biggest campaign donor.
Those 7 officials including Allen Cutler, President of t[he Coalition for Deep Space Exploration](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coalition_for_Deep_Space_Exploration), founded by Aerojet, Boeing, Lockheed and Northrup; Jim Bridenstine, who works for ULA; and John Shaw, who works for Sierra Space.
None of these conflicts of interest were described in this article.
>Part of the problem, former NASA officials acknowledge, is they chose an excessively complicated lunar landing plan, starting during Mr. Trump’s first term. Trump administration officials back then did not take up a proposal to construct a lander based on [existing, proven technology](https://www.researchgate.net/publication/326075772_An_affordable_lunar_architecture_emphasizing_commercial_and_international_partnering_opportunities), said Mr. Loverro, who helped devise the alternative lander proposal starting in late 2019 when he joined NASA.
The link is to a paper describing an architecture utilizing the Constellation program. Ares V, which SLS is essentially derived from, was a far more capable rocket ([70t to TLI](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ares_V) vs 27t for SLS). SLS can’t even deliver Orion to a low lunar orbit, necessitating all of these issues that the NYT is complaining about.
>This could include [reviving the earlier plan](https://republicans-science.house.gov/_cache/files/2/d/2dc97bb6-040b-4d15-ae69-6b8de637174d/448A0B95841995613C9A9B19135C104C.2024-01-17-griffin—testimony.pdf#page=4) for a simple, proven lunar lander design that could be built in about five years and not require orbital refueling, the [former](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_lwLibrZFiA) NASA officials said.
If you click on the linked article, the first step to their plan is refueling a Centaur III upper stage in orbit. And hydrolox refueling is far more questionable than methalox, giving the complexities of dealing with liquid hydrogen. Clearly the writer of the article didn’t look at his own references. Also requires the SLS Block 2, which isn’t scheduled to launch until Artemis 9, and requires NG’s BOLE, which recently exploded on it’s test stand in Utah.
>Without such a shift, the United States is likely to lose the race, the former NASA officials predicted.
China is trying to replicate Apollo. Artemis is trying to build a moon base. The finish lines for both are fairly distant.
This was a really poorly researched and biased article. Shame on the author, Eric Lipton, and The NY Times.
Anybody who suggests the US can develop a brand new crewed lunar lander from scratch in 5 years to replace Starship is delusional, especially if this is to be done by old space companies like Lockheed Martin and Boeing. Loverro, Cooke, etc should know this very well, given they oversaw Orion which is simpler than a lander but still took 20 years to develop. Yet they nevertheless are suggesting this, someone is being dishonest here.
Kind of annoying that these threads are an almost daily thing on r/space news now with no variation. Meanwhile actual tech or update posts are basically ignored.
With regards to blaming SpaceX though, i’d say that’s more the US governments fault for being so twitchy with plans over 2 and a half decades. „We’re doing constellation, actually no, we’re doing comets, WE’RE DOING MARS, actually no we’re doing the moon, we’re doing the moon.. but lower budget?“
I love Obama but his admin was terrible for space related programs.
Setting ambitious goals that push a stagnant industry into evolving isn’t a bad thing. What a hack article.
Gross underfunding. It’s talk like that really shows how little you value science as a whole. Everything we learn about space and beyond is 2,000% worth it. How did we come up with green energy if it wasn’t for science? Please look more into these projects instead of reading headlines
Our leaders chose not to race. So its less that we’re losing and more that we stopped trying – which is equally frustrating
The irony of DOGE is that Elon almost single haven’t guaranteed the loss of American superiority in the space race for generations. And he may have also guaranteed we’ll never make it to Mars in his lifetime.
Between attacks on education, stunting our ability to train the scientists and engineers needed to build stuff, and slashing science endeavors across the board, we will lose the future scientists we need to do pretty much everything.
In every meaningful way we’re moving backwards. Because conservatives don’t care about the future. They’re too engrossed in reliving the past and enshrining tradition. They’d take us back to 1950 if they could. That’s their ideal America. Well, they’re doing it by policy.
So what?
Say China gets to the moon before we return to the moon. A Taikonaut plants a Red Banner on the moon, and all of America freaks the fuck out. The US would spare no expense to one-up the Chinese after that.
And if we don’t, the industry is already spending plenty of its own money to try and get hardware on the surface and explore commercial opportunities in Cislunar space, which will ramp up and eclipse any flags-and-footprints effort.
Oh no, we basically attacked science and slashed funding for NASA, who would have predicted there would be
*Checks notes+
Consequences
yeah well this is kind of what happens when you defund everything
I just recently looked into this and got a bunch of interesting stats.
**NASA’s Record:**
– It took NASA 11 years to go from being founded to landing on the moon.
– It only took 7 years, if you count from the moment Kennedy announced the project specifically to land on the moon.
– During their first 11 years, NASA (building technology that simply had no real precursors) managed a ~95% success rate with their launches.
– By the time NASA had spent an inflation-adjusted amount of money comparable to the resources SpaceX has had access to, they were already doing manned orbits around the moon – clearly very close to accomplishing their objective.
**SpaceX’s Record:**
– Founded 23 years ago and still nowhere close to mission accomplished.
– by year 11 (when NASA had already succeeded), Space X was averaging only a ~70% success rate with their launches.
– While their record is improved today, nearly all of those launches are unnamed rockets bringing satellites into low earth orbit.
– Despite the benefit of 60 years of advances in human technology, SpaceX has only managed to get out of low earth orbit once, when they flung a car at the sun.
– While getting to Mars is a far more complicated project than the moon, SpaceX hasn’t even gotten so much as a Rover, satellite, or flyover to Mars, even as the refunded NASA has landed multiple rovers in the same relative period.
*So what’s the reason for the contrast?*
What we’re seeing here is the fundamental difference between a for-profit model and one that puts 100% of their recourses into accomplishing the mission.
While it would eventually cost more than SpaceX has received so far for NASA to land on the moon, an apples to apples comparison of how NASA was doing at this same point in time (in terms of both finances and literal time) shows that Musk isn’t remotely close to achieving what NASA had achieved more than half a century earlier.
This seems to confirm undeniably that trying to privatize space flight to make it „more efficient“, which was a major justification Musk provided to secure the tens of billions in funding they gave him, is simply not possible
**Because at the end of the day, for-profit companies prioritize profit over results, while publicly funded programs place 100% of their resources until accomplishing the mission.**
sorry, but the only way to win this race is not to run
even with Starship, there’s nothing on the Moon worth having except maybe raw materials for habs
let the robots build the lunar colonies
we need to be building spinning habs at Lagrange points, beautiful spaces where people **will actually enjoy living**, not obsessing over how to get stuck in a new gravity well
Oh no, not the moon! What will we do if someone else is on the moon? They will have moon advantage and what will we have? Nothing, thats what.
Decades of cutting funding to education and scientific research and entrusting the development of the sector to a private tycoon who has been on a streak of failed projects and false advertisement led to the US being left behind in aerospace technology? Color me utterly not shocked.
Didnt a U.S corp just put another lunar lander on the moon back in March?
We are the only country that can return to the moon. Words still have meaning, right??