Snippet from this article: After months of being pummelled with trade tariffs and security threats from the United States and years of pushing back against a rising China, the European Union on Tuesday sounded a death knell for the global rules-based order. In its “Strategic Foresight Report 2025”, designed to steel the bloc for a risk-laden future that looks darker by the day, the European Commission said “we are witnessing the erosion of the rules-based international order and fracturing of the global landscape”. “Geopolitical turmoil and erosion of global multilateral order further enhance the need for autonomy in the capability to protect current and future generations,” read the report, adding that “a return to the previous status quo seems increasingly unlikely”. Alluding to, but rarely referring to, China or the US by name, the commission called on the EU to reduce its dangerous levels of dependence on the US for digital and financial services and China for critical minerals.
fuggitdude22 on
The narrative around a „rules-based“ order is well meaning but there is really not much stopping nuclear hedgemons from violating it like Russia’s invasions of Ukraine and Georgia or the United States‘ invasion of Iraq and Haiti.
The cold war equilibrium just shifted from between the USSR and the United States to now China and United States. Russia devastated any chance of crafting a Eastern Bloc by invading them. There was a window for Russia to also normalize with the West as well. If my memory serves me well, NATO invited Russia into the peacekeeping mission in Bosnia during the 90s. The Blair Government even sold them arms during their wars with Chechnya.
But either way, it will be interesting to see how the world order orients itself in like 20 yrs from now.
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Snippet from this article: After months of being pummelled with trade tariffs and security threats from the United States and years of pushing back against a rising China, the European Union on Tuesday sounded a death knell for the global rules-based order. In its “Strategic Foresight Report 2025”, designed to steel the bloc for a risk-laden future that looks darker by the day, the European Commission said “we are witnessing the erosion of the rules-based international order and fracturing of the global landscape”. “Geopolitical turmoil and erosion of global multilateral order further enhance the need for autonomy in the capability to protect current and future generations,” read the report, adding that “a return to the previous status quo seems increasingly unlikely”. Alluding to, but rarely referring to, China or the US by name, the commission called on the EU to reduce its dangerous levels of dependence on the US for digital and financial services and China for critical minerals.
The narrative around a „rules-based“ order is well meaning but there is really not much stopping nuclear hedgemons from violating it like Russia’s invasions of Ukraine and Georgia or the United States‘ invasion of Iraq and Haiti.
The cold war equilibrium just shifted from between the USSR and the United States to now China and United States. Russia devastated any chance of crafting a Eastern Bloc by invading them. There was a window for Russia to also normalize with the West as well. If my memory serves me well, NATO invited Russia into the peacekeeping mission in Bosnia during the 90s. The Blair Government even sold them arms during their wars with Chechnya.
But either way, it will be interesting to see how the world order orients itself in like 20 yrs from now.