Kaukasus -Bevölkerungsprojektionen bis zum Ende des Jahrhunderts
https://i.redd.it/482ax8ez27jf1.png
Von armeniapedia
Kaukasus -Bevölkerungsprojektionen bis zum Ende des Jahrhunderts
https://i.redd.it/482ax8ez27jf1.png
Von armeniapedia
5 Kommentare
Source: https://www.populationpyramid.net/population-projections/armenia+azerbaijan+georgia/
Azerbaijan is nowhere near close to that number.
I don’t know if it will help, but here are some strategies:
Hungary Model – Family Incentives: Implement pro-family policies like Hungary’s, which include significant tax breaks for families with children, housing subsidies for large families, and interest-free loans for young couples with children. For example, Hungary offers up to HUF 10 million (~USD 30,000) in forgivable loans for families with three or more children. In Armenia, this could translate into housing subsidies in less populated regions to encourage decentralization.
Israel Model – Diaspora Support: Israel has repatriated Diaspora Jews with programs like „Aliyah,“ which offer economic incentives, employment, and educational support. Armenia could create a „Return Program“ for its diaspora (~7 million Armenians abroad), offering tax incentives, employment assistance, and free education for children of repatriates. Specific Action: Establish a „Repatriation Agency“ to facilitate diaspora reintegration, with global campaigns in Armenian communities (US, France, Russia) and benefits such as accelerated citizenship.
Additional Measure: Improve quality of life (health, education, employment) to reduce emigration, inspired by Singapore, where high living standards retain talent.
Expected Impact: Increase the birth rate by 10% in 5 years and repatriate at least 100,000 Armenians within a decade, increasing the population to ~3.2 million.
Of course there may be difficulties, and many things against it. (sorry if this is not to your liking 😣)
Azerbaijan has a lower fertility rate than Armenia and Georgia for the past 5 years. This model has to be based on old data. In fact Georgia and Armenia have touched replacement level rates over the last 5 years but Azerbaijan was not even close. Therefore how would the Azerbaijan be growing over the next decades while Armenia and Georgia falling.
this is worldwide problem, with only a few countries achieving long-term growth at current reproductive rates. As people get wealthier and more educated, they want to and/or simply have less children. Beyond people just not wanting to dedicated 20+ years of their lives raising children, there are practically more demands on time, more stress, both parents work, less grandparents available for childcare, later marriages, less socializing among young people, unaffordable child and daycare, and so on. It is not a problem that has any „solution“ that can be governed away. People have got to WANT to have more kids, THEN governments can structurally make that easier. I don’t think having it the other way around works.