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    1. BertramPotts on

      Well that’s weird, we triple our NATO commitment and our readiness projections get worse? Proper recruitment is pushed off to the 2030s in spite of a unique moment of Canadians wanting to serve and defence their country unseen in decades?

      Nothing has changed at DND and everyone knows all the money in this NATO commitment is being shipped south.

    2. Canada is infamous for setting unrealistic targets as a substitute for actual improvement, making sentences like this:

      > The old target was 2025 to reach “at least” 90 per cent readiness. The last results for 2023-24 were 29 per cent. 

      the depressing norm.

      Improving readiness will mean replacing a lot of the decrepit and old equipment with newer kit and training up to use that equipment. There’s always an awkward transition phase as new equipment has its myriad of minor problems worked out.

      Sadly, even this number might be overly optimistic.

      Seven years is about the time the first River class destroyers can enter service. In seven years, assuming we stick with the CF-35 procurement, we’ll be up to one squadron of those fighters and still in the training up phase for pilots. The most optimistic bid for new submarines (that are actually new) would see the first 4 delivered in 2035. AEW&C procurement of existing platforms still won’t be properly running until at best half way through the 2030’s. Patrol aircraft are being replaced now, but aren’t scheduled to be fully up and running for eight years, not seven. Armoured vehicles and artillery might come online by that time, and the army might be able to achieve good readiness for at least a modest number of units, as may ancillary units in the other arms.

      But overall, trying to meet this requirement while putting the *Halifax* class, CF-18s, EDIT: Aurora and other cold-war era platforms through another decade of use, wear, and deterioration is… perhaps optimistic.

      EDIT: Mixed up Polaris with Aurora, whose replacement is now underway.

    3. InternetEffective248 on

      Nothing about the plan to rebuild the CAF is realistic.

      This was the first year there was a small net gain in size of a few hundred soldiers. The Regular Force CAF is short 30,000 people from where it needs to be in five years with all the new stuff coming online.

      Without slashing releases in half or doubling enrollments, there’s no prospect the CAF can make up that personnel shortfalls within the next decade, never mind half decade. We need a net gain of thousands per year, and we’re well below one thousand. And those new members aren’t replacements for the 5 and 10 year people who’re leaving.

      The CAF has just barely begun to tread water, it’s MILES away from being able to start swimming again.

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